养殖行业疫病风险
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禽流感影响引种持续受限,关注白羽鸡父母代价格
Guotou Securities· 2025-04-01 15:04
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Leading the Market - A" and the rating is maintained [6] Core Views - The report highlights the impact of avian influenza on breeding restrictions, particularly focusing on white feather chickens [2] - The report indicates a short-term supply-demand game in pig farming, emphasizing the need to monitor weight feedback [22] - The report suggests investment opportunities in the aquaculture sector, noting stable prices in the aquatic products market [58] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The agricultural sector increased by 0.56% this week, ranking second among the Shenwan first-level industries [13] - The animal husbandry and veterinary sectors showed an upward trend, with notable stock performances [16] 2. Livestock Farming - **Pig Farming**: The average price of live pigs is 14.66 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.07% and a two-week increase of 0.31%. The average price of piglets is 647 CNY/head, with a week-on-week increase of 2.70% [22] - **Poultry Farming**: The average price of white feather meat chickens is 7.48 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 2.05%. The price of meat chicks is 2.98 CNY/chick, with a week-on-week increase of 2.41% [33] - **Aquaculture**: Prices for various aquatic products remain stable, with carp priced at 18.00 CNY/kg and shrimp at 300.00 CNY/kg [58] 3. Investment Recommendations - For pig farming, recommended companies include Wen's Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and Shennong Group. For white feather chicken, focus on companies like Shengnong Development and Yisheng Biotechnology [4] - The report anticipates a tighter supply-demand balance in the first half of 2025, suggesting significant performance improvement potential in the post-cycle sector [4] 4. Industry Events - The report notes that over 35 million acres of grain have been sown nationwide, with a focus on improving yields through modern agricultural practices [69] - Central government support for pig farming is highlighted, particularly in terms of subsidies for breeding sows and fattening pigs [69]