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金田股份(601609):铜加工行业龙头,开启高端化之路
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-10-09 09:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the copper processing industry, with a focus on high-end product development and international expansion, which is expected to drive profit margins higher [4][16]. - The company's single-ton gross profit for copper products is anticipated to continue its upward trend, benefiting from structural optimization and a shift towards high-margin products [1][3]. - The company is expected to see significant growth in gross profit from copper processing products, projected to increase from 2.5 billion yuan in 2024 to 5.3 billion yuan by 2030 [1]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been a leader in the copper processing industry for 39 years, providing essential materials to various sectors, including new energy vehicles and semiconductor industries [16][21]. - It has established a comprehensive product matrix, including copper and copper alloy materials, and has a strong international presence with subsidiaries in over 100 countries [16][24]. Traditional Business - The company has shown resilience in its copper processing business, with single-ton gross profit rebounding after hitting a low in 2022, indicating strong performance despite industry challenges [1][46]. - The company has successfully expanded its international operations, achieving a 21.86% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue in the first half of 2025 [2][46]. Emerging Business - The company is strategically investing in high-end sectors such as new energy vehicles, data centers, and robotics, which are expected to enhance its long-term growth potential [3][4]. - The demand for high-end copper materials is increasing due to the rising penetration of new energy vehicles and the shift towards high-voltage architectures [3][4]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 716 million yuan, 868 million yuan, and 968 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 29.91X, 24.68X, and 22.12X [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong market position and growth prospects, reinforcing the "Buy" rating [4][6].