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军工行业2025年中报总结专题:基本面拐点显现,上游军工电子率先受益
Hengtai Securities· 2025-09-15 13:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the military industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [2]. Core Insights - The military industry is showing signs of a fundamental turning point, with the upstream military electronics sector being the first to benefit from the recovery [1][4]. - In the first half of 2025, the military industry saw a total revenue of CNY 254.55 billion, an increase of 9.3% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 1.1% to CNY 15.53 billion [3][9]. - The overall gross margin for the military industry was 18.7%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous year, while the net margin improved by 2.6 percentage points to 6.3% [13]. Summary by Relevant Sections Aerospace Equipment Sector - The aerospace equipment sector reported a revenue of CNY 108.09 billion, down 7.5% year-on-year, with a net profit of CNY 7.29 billion, a decline of 20.1% [17][18]. - The revenue drop was primarily due to significant declines in two major manufacturers, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft and Aero Engine Corporation of China, as they shifted focus to future orders [17]. Space Equipment Sector - The space equipment sector's revenue was CNY 9.22 billion, down 15.3% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 49.5% to CNY 356 million [23][24]. - The sector experienced a reduction in revenue decline compared to the previous year, indicating some stabilization [23]. Ground Armament Sector - The ground armament sector achieved a revenue of CNY 12.73 billion, a growth of 26.6% year-on-year, with a slight net profit decrease of 2.2% to CNY 444 million [25][26]. - Notable growth was seen in companies like North Navigation, which reported a revenue increase of 481.2% [25]. Marine Equipment Sector - The marine equipment sector generated CNY 55.75 billion in revenue, a 12.6% increase, with net profit soaring by 107.9% to CNY 3.74 billion [27][28]. - The growth was driven by leading shipbuilding companies benefiting from a high international ship market [28]. Military Electronics Sector - The military electronics sector reported a revenue of CNY 68.76 billion, a significant increase of 51.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of CNY 3.70 billion, up 2.2% [3][4]. - This sector was the first to benefit from the overall industry recovery, reflecting a strong demand for components [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific sub-sectors for investment opportunities, including the aircraft and aero-engine supply chain, missile and unmanned combat systems, and military trade-related companies [4]. - Recommended ETFs include the Fortune CSI Military Leaders ETF and the Guotai CSI Military ETF [4].