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信用策略周报:哪些信用债更加抗跌-20250319
CMS· 2025-02-20 00:00
Group 1: Market Overview - The funding environment remains tight, with long-term credit bonds outperforming short-term ones due to factors such as tight liquidity and better-than-expected social financing data. The yield curve for credit bonds has flattened, with credit spreads generally narrowing [1][2] - Credit spreads for medium to long-term low-rated bonds and ultra-long-term municipal investment bonds have compressed significantly, with 3-year and above AA+ rated and below medium-term credit spreads narrowing by 4-8 basis points, while 1-year credit spreads narrowed by 2-4 basis points [1][2] Group 2: Specific Bond Types - Municipal bonds saw a general passive narrowing of credit spreads, particularly for medium to long-term low-rated and ultra-long-term municipal bonds, with 3-year and 5-year AA-rated municipal bonds' spreads narrowing by approximately 7 basis points [1][2] - Financial bonds, excluding short-term ones, also experienced a passive narrowing of credit spreads, with 3-year medium to low-rated financial bonds seeing a significant spread compression of about 4 basis points [1][2] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Following recent adjustments in the bond market, the cost-effectiveness of short-term credit bonds has improved, with institutions such as funds and other products increasing their allocation to credit bonds [2] - In a tight funding environment, it is advisable to consider left-side allocations in high-quality municipal bonds from central and eastern regions with a duration of 2-3 years, while also monitoring short-term recovery opportunities [2]