近期江苏、重庆等地推出中小学春秋假，工会鼓励组织春秋游，政策不断落地，板块景气度提升，坚定看好26年 出行产业链投资机会，后续不排除政策层面的催化；下月即将迎来史上最长春节，航旅纵横及旅行社平台预订双 位数增长，板块调整迎来布局良机。 核心推荐：景气度景区：陕西旅游、三峡旅游、黄山旅游、九华旅游；行业触底迎来拐点酒店板块：锦江酒店/首 旅酒店/华住/亚朵；销售数据持续提升中国中免/珠免。 【兴证社服】坚定看好出行产业链，调整即是布局良机 【兴证社服】坚定看好出行产业链，调整即是布局良机 今天市场较大跌幅，过往复盘来看重要节假日前1个月经常出现较大波动，调整系市场正常波动。 今天市场较大跌幅，过往复盘来看重要节假日前1个月经常出现较大波动，调整系市场正常波动。 近期江苏、重庆等地推出中小学春秋假，工会鼓励组织春秋游，政策不断落地，板块景气度提升，坚定看好26年 出行产业链投资机会，后续不排除政策层面的催化；下月即将迎来史上最长春节，航旅纵横及旅行社平台预订双 位数增长，板块调整迎来布局良机。 核心推荐：景 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The travel industry is experiencing a recovery driven by the dual holiday effect, with significant increases in airline ticket and hotel prices, particularly in the hotel sector, where Average Daily Rate (ADR) has shown continuous growth since Q4 2023 [1][2] Key Points on the Travel Industry - **CPI Growth**: In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, marking the first positive growth since 2025. Service prices have been gradually recovering since March, with a 0.8% increase in October [2] - **Price Increases**: Airline ticket prices rose by 8.9% and hotel accommodation prices by 2.8% due to the holiday effect [2] - **Hotel Sector Performance**: The hotel sector has shown remarkable performance, with leading companies experiencing sustained ADR growth during the off-peak season [2] Company-Specific Insights - **Shaanxi Tourism IPO**: The successful IPO of Shaanxi Tourism marks the first approval of a tourism-related company under the new 827 policy, indicating improved conditions for consumer-related IPOs and increased support for the cultural tourism sector [3][4] - **Hotel Industry Recovery**: Companies like Huazhu and Atour have improved operational levels, while Jinjiang Hotels is expected to see significant recovery after hitting a low in Q4 2024. Data from Q3 shows signs of recovery, with further improvements noted in October [5] - **Supply Side Dynamics**: The growth rate of hotel supply has slowed, with fewer new openings from leading companies. A decrease in property rents is attracting new investors, but increased supply coupled with weakened demand has led to declining profitability, particularly in the mid-to-low-end market [6] Jinjiang Hotels - **Performance Improvement**: Jinjiang Hotels has exceeded expectations through personnel optimization, cost control, and negotiations for rent reductions, achieving over 200 million yuan in rent savings. The company’s ADR has shown positive growth, and organizational restructuring has improved internal morale [8] - **Future Projections**: The company is projected to achieve a performance of 1.5 billion yuan by 2025, with an estimated valuation of around 17 times earnings [8] Other Notable Hotel Companies - **Shoulv Hotel and Juntin**: Shoulv Hotel is noted for its relatively low valuation at about 7 times next year's earnings, with improved store openings. Juntin is recognized for its growth potential as a supplementary option [9] Airline Industry Insights - **Ticket Price Trends**: Airline ticket prices are in an upward recovery phase, with a year-on-year increase of 45% in October. This is attributed to recovering business demand, pricing strategy adjustments, and the resumption of exhibitions [10] - **International vs Domestic Routes**: International routes have outperformed domestic routes, with ticket prices increasing by approximately 10%. The high load factors and improved visa policies are expected to enhance the proportion of foreign travelers [11] - **Profitability Outlook**: Airlines are optimistic about profitability in Q4, with expectations of significant improvement over 2024. The recovery of business demand and strong performance in international routes provide a solid foundation for airline profits [12] Supply Chain Challenges - **Supply Chain Issues**: The airline industry faces several supply chain challenges, including quality crises at Boeing, production limits from the FAA, and skilled labor shortages, which are affecting aircraft manufacturing and operational capacity [13][14] Future Outlook - **2025-2026 Projections**: The supply-demand balance is expected to remain tight through Q4 2025 and into 2026, with optimism regarding ticket prices during the upcoming holiday seasons. Key airline recommendations include China National Aviation, China Eastern Airlines, Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines, which are seen as having significant upward potential [15]