中航证券研报指出，中国中免2025年前三季度归母净利润30.52亿元，同比-22.13%；Q3归母净利润4.52 亿元，同比-28.94%。消费需求放缓，公司经营业绩持续承压，但Q3业绩拐点基本确立。海南离岛免税 是公司核心基本盘，已呈现明显的复苏态势。除离岛市场外，公司在口岸与市内店业务上布局领先。消 费场景创新方面，公司深化"免税+文旅"融合，打造"购物+娱乐+体验"新业态，引入迪士尼、泡泡玛特 等IP展和快闪店，成功吸引年轻客群。公司Q3业绩拐点明确，核心海南业务企稳回升，市内免税政策 落地为第二成长曲线打开新空间。随着离岛政策优化、口岸渠道复苏及数字化运营深化，公司有望重回 业绩增长轨道。当前股价对应PE分别为45/38/31倍，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Group 1: Communication Sector - The report highlights the strong fundamentals of the digital virtual goods operator, Bee Assistant (301382.SZ), with a stable business base and rapid growth in IoT and cloud terminal services [4] - The company is expected to benefit from AI trends due to its strategic investments in AI-related areas [4] Group 2: Medical Sector - United Imaging Healthcare (688271.SH) is identified as a leading domestic medical imaging equipment manufacturer with a comprehensive product line including CT, MR, MI, XR, RT, and ultrasound [4] - The company has made significant breakthroughs in core technologies and successfully launched high-end products like ultra-high field MR and digital PET-CT, which are at the forefront of global standards [4] - Anticipated revenue recognition from delayed orders in 2024 is expected to boost performance in the second half of 2025, supported by new funding for equipment upgrades [4] Group 3: Consumer Goods Sector - Gu Ming (1364.HK) is noted as a highly certain and scalable player in the tea beverage sector, with strong same-store sales and rapid franchisee payback periods [4] - The company is expected to emerge as a stable growth and expansion leader during the industry reshuffle in 2026 [4] Group 4: Home Appliances Sector - Midea Group (000333.SZ) reported a 13% year-on-year revenue increase in the ToC segment for Q1-Q3 2025, driven by high-end brands and an optimized product structure [5] - The ToB segment saw an 18% revenue increase, with significant growth in new energy and industrial technology sectors [5] - The company's focus on robotics is expected to enhance its product offerings and support long-term revenue growth [7] Group 5: Chemical Sector - Excellent New Energy (688196.SH) is positioned well in the biofuel industry, with a robust capacity layout for biodiesel and bio-based materials [7] - The company is accelerating its biodiesel project with a projected post-tax internal rate of return of 28.94%, enhancing its market competitiveness [7] Group 6: Financial Sector - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398.SH) is characterized by its stability and high dividend yield, making it a preferred choice for investors seeking certainty [7] - The bank's net profit showed a slight year-on-year increase of 0.33% for the first three quarters of 2025, with non-interest income growing by 11.3% [7] Group 7: Transportation Sector - Jinjiang Shipping (601083.SH) reported a remarkable 64% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3, outperforming peers [7] Group 8: Retail Sector - China Duty Free Group (601888.SH) is experiencing a recovery in duty-free sales, benefiting from increased domestic tourism and expectations of policy support [7] Group 9: Agriculture Sector - Tian Kang Biological (002100.SZ) is positioned to benefit from rising pig prices as the industry undergoes capacity reduction, potentially enhancing profitability [8] Group 10: Electronics Sector - Huadian Co., Ltd. (002463.SZ) is experiencing high growth in server switch business driven by AI demand, with ongoing capacity expansion and improved profitability [8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent government policies aim to enhance consumer demand and supply adaptability, leading to new growth opportunities in the consumption sector by 2027 and beyond [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Implementation and Goals - The implementation plan aims for a significant optimization of the consumer goods supply structure by 2027, creating three trillion-level consumption fields and ten hundred-billion-level consumption hotspots [1]. - By 2030, a high-quality development pattern characterized by positive interaction between supply and consumption is expected to be established, with a steady increase in consumption's contribution to economic growth [1]. Group 2: Consumer Trends and Innovations - The plan emphasizes the development of diverse interest-based consumption products, including pet-related goods, anime, and trendy apparel, while also expanding low-altitude tourism and automotive aftermarket consumption [1][2]. - The rise of new business models such as live-streaming e-commerce and instant retail is highlighted as a key factor in meeting personalized consumer demands [2]. Group 3: Market Performance and Economic Indicators - Recent data indicates a recovery in the consumption market, with core CPI rising by 1.2% year-on-year in October, marking the sixth consecutive month of increase, and PPI showing a slight uptick [2]. - The performance of traditional consumption sectors, including food and beverage, liquor, and e-commerce, has been notably strong, providing fundamental support for consumption stocks [2]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Consumer Sector - Analysts recommend focusing on the hotel and duty-free industries, which are showing signs of recovery and growth potential due to favorable policies [3]. - Five major consumption trends are identified for investment opportunities in 2026, including the rise of high-quality domestic brands and the increasing demand for emotional consumption [3]. Group 5: Company-Specific Insights - Huazhu Group's strong performance in Q3, with revenue and net profit exceeding expectations, is attributed to its robust membership system and rapid expansion [4]. - Ctrip Group is expected to maintain steady domestic growth while continuing to expand internationally, supported by increased investment returns [5]. - BYD's projected annual profit growth rate of 30% from 2025 to 2028 highlights its confidence in long-term overseas expansion despite uncertainties in the domestic market [5]. - Haier Smart Home reported a 10% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3, driven by product innovation and direct sales transformation [6]. - Pop Mart's significant revenue growth of 245-250% in Q3 reflects its successful global expansion and strong IP ecosystem [6].

热点情报 消费领域迎来利好 11月26日下午，工信部、中国人民银行等六部门印发《关于增强消费品供需适配性进一步促进消费的实 施方案》。其中提出，到2027年，消费品供给结构明显优化，形成3个万亿级消费领域和10个千亿级消 费热点，打造一批富有文化内涵、享誉全球的高品质消费品。 华创证券研报称，部分消费者服务行业的结构性复苏趋势正愈发明确，经营层面已现企稳改善迹象，逐 步走出底部区间，重点推荐关注以下两条主线：一是酒店行业，供需格局优化，经营数据稳步回暖。二 是免税行业，政策红利加持，静待行业新增量。 特发信息连收4个涨停板 11月26日，特发信息再度涨停，实现四连板走势，累计涨幅为46.53%。截至收盘，该股成交量229.63万 手，成交金额31.22亿元，换手率25.84%。最新A股总市值达125.33亿元，A股流通市值123.70亿元。 | 今开 13.65 | | 最高 | 13.92 | 成交量 229.63万手 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨收 | | 曼低 | | 成交额 | | 换手率 | 25.84% | 市盈(TTM) | 亏损 | 总市值 125 ...

今日午后，A股三大指数走势分化。截至收盘，上证指数跌0.15%，深证成指涨1.02%，创业板指涨2.14%。市场全天成交额超1.79万亿元。 消息面上，工业和信息化部、国家发展改革委、商务部、文化和旅游部、中国人民银行、市场监管总局印发《关于增强消费品供需适配性进一步促进消费 的实施方案》。其中提出，加快布局新领域新赛道。聚焦智能网联新能源汽车、智能家居、消费电子、现代纺织、食品、绿色建材等重点行业，开展双百 典型创新应用专项活动，打造百个标志性产品、百家创新企业和一批可体验可推广的新产品首用场景样板。围绕高性能纤维、绿色印染、造纸、家电、电 池、日化、生物医药、生物制造等消费品工业领域，建设一批中试验证平台。 海欣食品专注速冻鱼肉制品、速冻肉制品、速冻米面制品、速冻菜肴制品等。海欣食品投资者关系活动记录表显示，公司三季度推出常温鲍汁鲍鱼、金汤 佛跳墙等新品，常温休闲食品前三季度收入已超去年全年，鱼极新品"五福到家"已入驻山姆超市系统。 华创证券研报称，部分消费者服务行业的结构性复苏趋势正愈发明确，经营层面已现企稳改善迹象，逐步走出底部区间，重点推荐关注以下两条主线：一 是酒店行业，供需格局优化，经营数据稳步 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the social services industry, indicating an expectation of returns exceeding the market benchmark by over 5% [5]. Core Insights - The social services sector is showing resilience during the off-peak season, supported by fundamental data and a shift in funding styles, creating conditions for relative returns across industries [4]. - Key areas of focus include mid-cap blue-chip characteristics, growth potential, and recovery prospects in performance, particularly in OTA, hotels, human resources, and select dining and scenic spots [4]. Summary by Sections Hotels - The hotel sector demonstrates strong fundamentals with a recovery in performance. Huazhu reported a revenue of 7 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, surpassing previous growth guidance [8]. - The national hotel RevPAR turned positive in October 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.2%, indicating a stable volume and rising prices [8]. Scenic Spots - The demand for scenic spots remains robust due to the autumn holiday and the upcoming winter season, with double-digit growth in visitor numbers reported [8]. - For instance, the Jianmen Pass scenic area saw a 30% increase in visitors during the autumn holiday, and hotel bookings in Zhejiang rose by 68% [8]. Duty-Free - The duty-free shopping scene in Hainan is recovering, with sales reaching 506 million yuan from November 1-7, 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.86% [8]. - This recovery is attributed to low base effects, new policies, and promotional activities, alongside a shift in consumer behavior due to international travel restrictions [8]. OTA (Online Travel Agencies) - Ctrip's Q3 2025 report showed a net operating income of 18.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 16% [8]. - The international OTA orders grew by about 60%, with inbound travel orders doubling, indicating a strong recovery in domestic travel demand [8].

Core Insights - The construction of Hainan Free Trade Port has led to significant increases in foreign trade, with an average annual growth rate of 25.1% since 2020, indicating a continuous improvement in trade openness and convenience [1] Group 1: Policy Implementation and Economic Impact - Hainan's customs have implemented several policies to support high-level openness and quality development, including zero tariffs on three lists of imports, which have totaled 27.2 billion yuan in value and resulted in tax reductions of 5.15 billion yuan [1] - The processing and value-added tax exemption policy has been expanded to the entire island, benefiting 129 enterprises with a total domestic sales value of 11.1 billion yuan and tax reductions of 860 million yuan [1] - The "temporary export repair" and "temporary import repair" policies have shown positive results, with over 100 aircraft repaired under customs supervision and a total value of 2.7 billion yuan benefiting from the temporary export repair policy [2] Group 2: Innovation in Customs Regulation - Customs have introduced innovative regulatory measures for Hainan's key industries, such as seed industry revitalization and duty-free shopping, with seven innovative measures filed with the General Administration of Customs and 18 results selected as integrated innovation cases [2] - The duty-free shopping sector has seen over 210 billion yuan in monitored sales since 2020, with recent policy upgrades enhancing the variety of goods and allowing more purchases for departing travelers, resulting in monitored sales of 1.57 billion yuan in just 20 days [3] Group 3: Trade Facilitation and Logistics Efficiency - The customs have implemented over a hundred measures to optimize the business environment and promote cross-border trade facilitation, significantly benefiting key parks and industries [3] - The introduction of the "three same, three trace" regulatory model in the Yangpu Free Trade Port Area has reduced customs clearance times for food and raw materials by 70% [4] - The overall customs clearance time for imports and exports has been reduced by nearly 70%, with the customs laboratory recognized by the World Customs Organization, enhancing its capabilities [4][5]

行业研究 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：饶临风 邮箱：raolinfeng@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525080002 证券分析师：曹锦瑜 邮箱：caojinyu@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525100001 证 券 研 究 报 告 消费者服务行业周报（20251117-20251121） 推荐（维持） 看好经营改善的酒店、免税行业 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 55 | 0.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 4,988.04 | 0.43 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 4,570.81 | 0.49 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | -7.7% | -0.7% | 9.2% | | 相对表现 | -6.9% | -20.3% | -9.9% | -12% 0% 12% 23% 24/11 25/02 25/04 25/06 25/09 25/11 2024-11-25~2025-11-21 消费者服务 沪深300 ...

超配（维持） 强政策刺激消费，关注结构性机会 资料来源：iFind，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 投资要点： 消费者服务行业 2026 年投资策略 2025 年 11 月 24 日 推荐 分析师：邓升亮 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523050001 电话：0769-22119410 邮箱： dengshengliang@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340513040002 电话：0769-22119462 邮箱：whm2@dgzq.com.cn 消费者服务指数走势 投 资 策 略 行 业 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 消费者服务行业 ◼ 行业回顾：2025年年初以来，消费者服务指数整体波动上涨。截至 2025年11月20日，消费者服务指数整体上涨9.82%，跑输沪深300指 数。细分板块均上涨，其中免税行业受到多重政策支持利好出现较大 幅度上涨，带动旅游休闲板块上升，酒店餐饮板块竞争仍较激烈但供 需格局有所缓和。在政 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry and Company Involved - The discussion revolves around the duty-free industry, specifically focusing on Shanghai Airport and its duty-free operations, including major players like Dayang Duty-Free and China Duty-Free Group (CDFG) [1][3][4]. Core Points and Arguments - **Bidding Process**: Shanghai Airport is undergoing a bidding process for duty-free operations. Dayang Duty-Free remains a key player due to its ability to participate as a foreign entity, maintaining a competitive edge [1][3]. - **Dispute on Terms**: There is a disagreement between Shanghai Airport and CDFG regarding rental fees and lease terms. CDFG aims to reduce the number of stores to increase commission rates, while the airport prefers to introduce more competitors to enhance overall competitiveness [1][3]. - **Current Competitors**: Currently, only Dayang and CDFG have purchased bidding documents and are preparing to participate. Other competitors have not been able to prepare adequately due to time constraints, leading to a relatively stable market landscape in the short term [1][4]. - **Commission Structure**: Shanghai Airport is expected to continue using a base rent plus a commission rate model, with an anticipated increase in overall commission rates to reflect performance growth, although specific details have yet to be disclosed [1][5]. - **Operational Pressure**: Increasing commission rates may add operational pressure. However, Shanghai Airport plans to adjust its channel strategy to mitigate costs, such as shifting resources from online to offline sales and optimizing supply chain management [1][6]. Additional Important Information - **Online Sales Suspension**: Dayang's online direct mail service in Shanghai has been suspended due to customs inspections revealing non-compliance with regulatory requirements. The future of this service depends on the progress of rectifications and customs reviews [1][7]. - **Rainbow Bridge Airport Segment**: The Rainbow Bridge Airport segment has been separately bid, but its sales volume is only about 10% of that of Pudong Airport, indicating a limited impact on the overall business layout. The participation of third parties in this segment remains uncertain [2][8].