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谈判可能在进行,但至今依然难言乐观
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-15 00:03
Core Insights - The meeting between the two national leaders is still "on the schedule," but significant differences between the U.S. and China have been exposed, making the outcome uncertain [1] - The U.S. officials' views reflect a fundamental misunderstanding of China's position, particularly regarding technology sanctions and retaliatory measures [2][3] - The differing perspectives on the rare earth agreement indicate a lack of alignment in negotiations, with U.S. officials possibly underestimating the implications of China's policies [4] Group 1: U.S.-China Relations - The U.S. officials believe that China's economic issues will limit its negotiation power, a premise that is increasingly being challenged [5] - The concept of "tit for tat" is evident in China's response to U.S. sanctions, showcasing a more assertive trade negotiation strategy [7][8] - China's recent actions, such as imposing port fees on U.S. ships, reflect a calculated approach to maintain its long-term competitive advantage while avoiding excessive damage to the global economy [11][12] Group 2: Strategic Implications - China's strategy appears to focus on long-term risks rather than short-term uncertainties, indicating a shift in its negotiation tactics [14] - The use of supply chain advantages as a countermeasure against U.S. actions signifies a strategic evolution in China's approach to trade disputes [14] - The ongoing negotiations are characterized by significant distributive issues, where both sides have core demands that are difficult to reconcile, potentially complicating future discussions [17]