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2026年A股能否继续长牛?专家称上市公司业绩增长是关键
第一财经· 2025-12-26 11:08
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential market landscape for the primary and secondary markets in 2026, focusing on whether PE/VC can benefit from a recovery in IPOs and increased mergers and acquisitions, as well as the continuation of a slow bull market in A-shares in 2025 [3][4]. Group 1: Key Factors for Long-term Bull Market - Two key factors are essential for a long-term bull market: continuous growth in listed company performance and a steady influx of medium to long-term capital into the market [5][6]. - The performance of listed companies must be supported by sustainable growth; otherwise, reliance on speculation could lead to increased market risks as valuations rise without earnings support [5][6]. - The U.S. stock market serves as an example where major indices doubled over several years, but earnings growth outpaced stock price increases, leading to a decrease in market P/E ratios and a more manageable risk profile [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Trading Volume - For the market to continue its upward trajectory, daily trading volume needs to reach levels between 2.5 trillion to 3 trillion yuan; recent market fluctuations showed that lower trading volumes during key index breakthroughs led to subsequent corrections [6][7]. - The first breakthrough of the 4000-point mark had a trading volume of 2.3 trillion yuan, while the second only reached 1.95 trillion yuan, indicating that insufficient trading volume can undermine market stability [6]. Group 3: Investment Environment for Venture Capital - The article emphasizes the need for a more inclusive environment for the venture capital market, suggesting that the investment horizon for Chinese venture capital funds should be extended beyond the current 5 to 7 years to allow for more early-stage investments [7][9]. - U.S. venture capital funds typically have a lifespan of 10 to 12 years, allowing for a more patient investment approach, which contrasts with the shorter timelines of many Chinese funds [7][9]. - The dominance of government-backed limited partners (LPs) in China's venture capital market is noted, with a call for improved evaluation mechanisms that consider longer investment periods and bundled assessments of projects [9].
2026年A股能否继续长牛?专家称上市公司业绩增长是关键
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-12-26 10:33
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the potential market dynamics in 2026, focusing on whether the PE/VC sectors can benefit from a recovery in IPOs and increased mergers and acquisitions, as well as the continuation of a slow bull market in A-shares in 2025 [1][2] - Professor He Qiang emphasizes that for the stock market to achieve further growth, two key factors are necessary: continuous growth in listed company performance and a steady influx of medium to long-term capital [2][3] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to provide favorable policy expectations for capital market development, which is seen as crucial for establishing a well-functioning capital market [2] Group 2 - To achieve performance growth, listed companies must prioritize being responsible to investors, shifting focus from merely financing to also considering investment [3] - The market requires a continuous influx of incremental capital to support upward movement, with daily trading volumes needing to reach between 2.5 trillion to 3 trillion yuan [3] - In the primary market, there is a call for a more inclusive venture capital environment, with suggestions to extend the evaluation and assessment periods for state-owned LPs [4][5]
“招聘董秘,要求3个月搞定融资”
投中网· 2025-03-22 06:07
将投中网设为"星标⭐",第一时间收获最新推送 投资人们把"董秘"看做职业生涯的"一条路"? 作者丨蒲凡 来源丨投中网 "下沉的职位" 董秘,董事会秘书的简称——顾名思义,这是一个设置于上市公司或拟上市公司中的职位。根据证监会《上市公司章程指引》 的相关规定,上市公司必须要设置"董秘"一职以负责"公司股东大会和董事会会议的筹备、文件保管以及公司股东资料管理, 办理信息披露事务等事宜"。《上市公司信息披露管理办法》则进一步明确了"董秘"与"行政秘书"的区别,要求上市公司们明 确董秘负责组织和协调公司信息披露事务,承担对外沟通职责, 进一步"强化其高管职能"。 所以在绝大多数时间里, 董秘是一个相对小众的"进阶"职业选择,是投行券商们的后花园。 小刘就在一年前的跳槽过程中做 过相关规划,他相信自己在顺利地完成几个"过会项目"之后,已经积累了足够的"规范企业辅导上市的能力",有机会通过"股 权奖励"改善改善生活。 设想你是一名草根创业者,刚刚从一场路演活动败兴而归。这场路演活动其实很不起眼,由某当地FA机构主办、放在某街道 办的文化活动中心承办。活动预热的那篇推文阅读量200,朋友圈里没看到几个人转发。趁着调试设备的 ...