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施寒微:不了解历史就无法读懂当代中国
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-14 02:15
Group 1 - The core theme of the Second World Sinology Conference is "Historical China and Contemporary China from a Global Perspective," emphasizing the connection between history and modernity in understanding contemporary China [1] - European sinology has a long-standing tradition and has contributed significantly to global discussions about China, but there is a growing trend of diminishing emphasis on historical studies compared to contemporary issues [3] - Understanding historical China is crucial for comprehending contemporary China, as many modern developments can be traced back to historical contexts, including literature, philosophy, and the impact of Buddhism [3] Group 2 - There is a divergence in how Western academia discusses Chinese-style modernization, with some viewing it as a "catch-up" process while others misinterpret China's rising international status as a "threat" [5] - The prevailing "institutional opposition" mindset in the West leads to a misunderstanding of China's unique conditions in its modernization process, often overlooking the challenges China faces that are similar to those of other modernizing nations [6] - The accessibility of data in the digital age presents opportunities for sinology research, but there is a risk that AI applications may replicate existing biases, hindering the emergence of new perspectives [8] Group 3 - The current academic environment in Europe is influenced by a distancing attitude from some media and politicians towards China, which can obstruct in-depth learning and research on Chinese topics [10] - European sinology and Chinese studies are vital for enhancing mutual understanding between Europe and China, requiring both sides to reflect on their unique perspectives and maintain an objective distance [11] - A comprehensive understanding of China should be included in public discussions to raise awareness and foster better recognition of its complexities [11]
邓正红能源软实力:供应增加预期扰动平衡表 季节性需求韧性支撑油价震荡运行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-21 03:15
Group 1 - The oil market is facing multiple challenges including structural competition and institutional rivalry, driven by the U.S. "Big and Beautiful" Act reversing clean energy policies and the EU's sanctions against Russia, which are reshaping supply chains [1][2] - Current oil soft power is influenced by various factors such as seasonal demand resilience, supply disruptions, and macroeconomic policy changes, leading to a lack of significant unilateral drivers for oil prices [3][4] - The "Big and Beautiful" Act promotes fossil fuel development, which may lead to deep disruptions in the energy sector and a reconfiguration of international energy dynamics [1][3] Group 2 - The EU's sanctions against Russia, including a ban on importing Russian oil products, aim to weaken Russia's energy supply power, although exceptions for certain countries highlight strategic compromises [3][4] - Seasonal demand remains resilient, supported by low inventory levels and strong consumption data, which helps stabilize oil prices in the medium term [3][4] - The interplay of geopolitical risk premiums, supply-demand rebalancing, and institutional innovation is driving the current volatility in oil prices, with future upward potential depending on the precision of structural adjustments and behavioral strategies [2][4]