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非银金融行业周报:保险公司资负管理办法发布,明确监管指标和阈值-20251221
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-12-21 10:16
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The insurance sector has seen a 15.7% increase since December 5, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 0.5% [4] - The release of the asset-liability management measures for insurance companies is expected to enhance regulatory oversight and impact asset allocation and insurance operations, particularly for small and medium-sized insurers [5] - The brokerage sector is anticipated to benefit from a positive regulatory environment, with potential growth in investment banking, public funds, and overseas business, supporting profitability in 2026 [6] Summary by Sections Insurance Sector - The new asset-liability management measures aim to strengthen the linkage between assets and liabilities, with implementation starting on July 1, 2026 [5] - Key management goals include matching duration structures, cost-benefit alignment, and liquidity matching [5] - The transition to dividend insurance is expected to deepen, with a favorable settlement yield compared to traditional insurance, driven by increased demand for savings products [5] - Long-term interest rates stabilizing and a positive equity market outlook are expected to improve net assets and profitability for insurers [5] Brokerage Sector - The average daily trading volume for stock funds is 2.2 trillion, reflecting a 7.2% decrease [6] - The resumption of trading for China International Capital Corporation (CICC) has led to a rise in stock prices, with expectations of increased leverage and business synergy [6] - The brokerage sector remains undervalued, with strategic opportunities for investment in firms with strong overseas and institutional business advantages [6] - Recommended stocks include Huatai Securities, Guotai Junan, and CICC, among others [6]