吴说获悉，据 @EmberCN 监测，某鲸鱼地址在过去 1 小时内售出 10006 枚 ETH，约 3005 万美元，其 中最新一笔为 4700 枚 ETH，约 1405 万美元。该地址过去一周累计抛售 30605 枚 ETH，约 8914 万美 元，平均卖出价格约 2913 美元。 （来源：吴说） ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market opened poorly in December due to a sell-off in cryptocurrencies and hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan, leading to a decline in market sentiment [1] Market Performance - All three major indices opened lower: the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.59%, the S&P 500 dropped by 0.64%, and the Nasdaq Composite decreased by 0.85% [1] - Technology stocks experienced widespread declines, with Nvidia and Microsoft both falling over 1% [1] Cryptocurrency Impact - Bitcoin briefly fell below $85,000, contributing to a decline in cryptocurrency-related stocks, with Coinbase and Strategy dropping over 4% [1] Company-Specific Developments - New思科技 (New Thinking Technology) saw a significant increase of 5% following Nvidia's investment of $2 billion in the company [1]

Group 1 - Bitcoin has experienced its third consecutive week of decline, marking the fifth drop in the past six weeks, with a total market cap loss of over $1 trillion since October 10 [2] - Approximately 180,000 individuals faced liquidation in the cryptocurrency market within the last 24 hours, totaling $680 million, with $510 million from long positions and $170 million from short positions [2] - The cumulative increase in Bitcoin's value this year has narrowed to less than 8%, suggesting a potential downturn in what was initially a record-setting year for the cryptocurrency market [2] Group 2 - The current sell-off in the cryptocurrency market is correlated with other risk assets, but the decline in cryptocurrencies is more pronounced due to their higher volatility [3] - Significant selling pressure is attributed to "whales" (holders of over 1,000 Bitcoins) and long-term holders, with approximately 815,000 Bitcoins sold in the past 30 days, the highest level since early 2024 [3] - Whales holding Bitcoin for over seven years are reportedly selling at a rate exceeding 1,000 Bitcoins per hour [3] Group 3 - Speculation regarding MicroStrategy potentially selling Bitcoin has increased, with on-chain fund movements raising concerns among market observers [4] - MicroStrategy's stock has dropped nearly 32% over the past month, with a market cap of $59 billion, while its Bitcoin holdings are valued at $62.3 billion [4] - Federal Reserve officials have expressed caution regarding a potential interest rate cut in December, which has negatively impacted risk appetite in the market [4]

Market Overview - The price of bitcoin has fallen below $110,000, down more than 5% for the week and over 10% from its August all-time high of over $124,000, leading to a total crypto market value dropping under $4 trillion [1] - Altcoins such as ether and solana have also experienced declines, contributing to the overall market downturn [1] Impact on Crypto Stocks - Crypto-related stocks have been negatively affected, with Bitcoin treasury stock Strategy and stablecoin issuer Circle falling about 10% in the past week, while crypto exchange Coinbase Global dropped around 7% [2] Market Dynamics - The recent sell-off began on September 21, when over $1.5 billion in leveraged-long positions in bitcoin were liquidated, impacting other cryptocurrencies as well [3] - Market observers are predicting further declines, with a 60% probability that bitcoin's price may dip below $100,000 before the end of the year [3][8] Investor Sentiment - The current market volatility is causing concerns among investors, with some experts advising patience rather than immediate reactions to the sell-off [4] - An indicator of bearish sentiment is the options skew, which shows that bullish call options on bitcoin are significantly more expensive than bearish puts, indicating defensive positioning [5] ETF Influence - The emergence of spot bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust and Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, has distinguished this market cycle, with these funds collectively amassing over $150 billion in assets under management since their launch in January 2024, representing more than 6% of the current bitcoin supply [6] Seasonal Trends - Historical data suggests that median bitcoin returns tend to be stronger at the beginning of the month and weaker in the latter half, attributed to fund inflows, window dressing, and profit-taking [7]