市场碎片化
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OEXN:白银波动加剧
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 11:48
1月9日,当前全球白银市场正处于一个库存极度敏感的转折点,库存水平的持续走低使得银价波动幅度 远超历史均值。根据分析显示,这种"灰色金属"的稀缺性已将其价格推入了一个高敏感区间,任何规模 的资金流动都可能在短时间内引发剧烈的行情震荡。OEXN表示,库存薄弱已为"逼空行情"埋下了伏 笔,一旦投资者需求迅速吞噬伦敦等关键金库的库存,反弹速度将呈指数级增长;反之,当紧缩信号释 放,价格修正也会同样剧烈。 在驱动因素方面,2025年以来的白银大涨主要由美联储降息预期、资产多元化需求以及避险买盘共同推 动。然而,伦敦市场的库存挤压明显放大了这些因素的实际效能。OEXN表示,在常规市场环境下,每 周约1000公吨的净需求波动通常仅能拉动银价上涨2%左右,但在当前的低库存生态下,这种价格敏感 性已大幅攀升至7%。这意味着,当前的白银市场已进入"高杠杆"感应状态,极小规模的流入或流出都 会造成巨大的价格波动。 即便白银价格已多次刷新阶段性高点,但从机构持仓的角度来看,投资者的热情尚未达到顶峰。相关数 据显示,目前白银ETF的整体持仓量仍低于2021年的历史高位。随着全球主要央行进入降息周期,白银 作为抗通胀与资产分散工具的吸 ...
Safe Bulkers(SB) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-26 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $36.1 million, down from $41.3 million in Q3 2024, indicating a decrease of approximately 12.5% [15] - Adjusted earnings per share for Q3 2025 was $0.12, compared to $0.16 in the same period last year, reflecting a decline of 25% [15] - Average time charter equivalent (TCE) decreased to $15,507 in Q3 2025 from $17,108 in Q3 2024 [16] - Daily vessel running expenses decreased by 4% to $5,104 in Q3 2025 from $5,311 in Q3 2024 [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company sold two of its oldest vessels as part of its fleet renewal strategy, which is ongoing [3] - The fleet now includes 12 phased new vessels delivered from 2022 onwards, with 24 vessels having been environmentally upgraded [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The dry bulk fleet is projected to grow by about 3% on average in 2025 and 2026, with the order book now below 11% of the current fleet [4] - Global dry bulk demand growth is forecasted at 2% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027, with grains and minor bulks being the best-performing sectors [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a strong capital structure, providing flexibility in capital allocation, and has declared a dividend of $0.05 per share [3] - Focus on fleet energy efficiency and leveraging the majority Japanese-built fleet advantage [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a weaker charter market environment compared to the same period in 2024, with decreased revenues due to lower charter highs [14] - The company anticipates an improving trade market rate due to a trade truce between the US and China [7] Other Important Information - The company has a market cap of $496 million and maintains significant liquidity with $390 million in capital resources [12] - The company achieved zero vessels rated D and E in carbon intensity for 2024, reflecting its commitment to sustainability [11] Q&A Session Summary - No questions were raised during the Q&A session, and the management concluded the call without further comments [19][20]