Core Insights - The U.S. government shutdown continues, potentially leading to layoffs of nearly 10,000 workers, which could further impact the already weak labor market [1] - U.S. bank credit loss provisions were lower than expected, easing market concerns over earnings reports and reducing risk aversion, leading to a drop in precious metals after reaching new highs [1] - Last week, COMEX futures surpassed $4,300 per ounce for gold and $53 per ounce for silver, with silver experiencing significant volatility due to a liquidity crisis in the market [1] - The rental rate for silver in London surged to over 30%, exacerbated by a spike in demand for silver due to the upcoming traditional festivals in India [1] - This week, the focus will be on the U.S. CPI inflation data [1] Market Performance - Domestic main contracts showed mixed performance in early trading, with silver down nearly 4% and eggs down over 2%, while pure soda increased by over 1% [3] - Other commodities such as caustic soda and gold also experienced declines of over 1% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) is not expected to lower interest rates prematurely in September, as there are no compelling factors to warrant such a move [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy - The commitment to a predetermined policy path is deemed a foolish mistake [1] - The ongoing risks of rising inflation necessitate a high level of vigilance [1] Group 2: Economic Conditions - Trade agreements are viewed as positive news that can help reduce uncertainty [1] - A significant shock to the labor market could compel the ECB to take action [1]