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“稳定币第一股”Circle 上市,稳定币加速迈入主流金融体系
AVIC Securities· 2025-06-11 03:02
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [3][22]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the successful listing of Circle, marking it as the first public stablecoin company, with its stock price increasing nearly 2.5 times since its IPO, leading to a market capitalization of approximately $23.8 billion [6][7]. - The stablecoin market has seen explosive growth, with its total size increasing from $20 billion in 2020 to $246 billion by May 2025, alongside a 598% increase in trading volume [6][7]. - The report emphasizes three main growth themes: Blockchain + Fintech, New Energy + RWA (Real World Assets), and Cross-Border Payments [6][7]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - Key recommendations include companies such as Xinjie Electric, Beite Technology, Hanwei Technology, Zhaowei Electromechanical, Hengli Hydraulic, and Nuwei Co., Ltd. [4]. Industry Focus: Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see a cumulative demand of approximately 2 million units by 2030, currently in a critical breakthrough phase [5][6]. - The report suggests focusing on Tier 1 and core component suppliers within this sector [6]. Industry Focus: Photovoltaic Equipment - The penetration rate of N-type photovoltaic technology is accelerating, enhancing the competitiveness of leading companies [17]. - The report recommends companies like Maiwei Co. and Jiejia Weichuang for their technological innovations and customer bases [17]. Industry Focus: Energy Storage - Energy storage is essential for building a new type of power grid, with favorable policies boosting industry growth [17]. - Leading companies in battery, inverter, and integration segments are highlighted as key investment opportunities [17]. Industry Focus: Semiconductor Equipment - The semiconductor equipment market is projected to reach $140 billion by 2030, with a growing share from mainland China [17]. - The report suggests focusing on platform companies and domestic replacements that are expected to break through quickly [17]. Industry Focus: Automation - The market for industrial consumables is around $40 billion, expected to reach $55.7 billion by 2026, with leading companies benefiting from increased concentration and import substitution [17][18]. Industry Focus: Hydrogen Energy - Green hydrogen aligns with carbon neutrality goals, with rapid development in photovoltaic and wind energy laying the foundation for hydrogen production [17]. Industry Focus: Engineering Machinery - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with product, scale, and cost advantages in the engineering machinery sector [17][18].
先进制造行业周报:“稳定币第一股”Circle上市,稳定币加速迈入主流金融体系
AVIC Securities· 2025-06-11 00:25
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The stablecoin market is rapidly gaining acceptance in mainstream finance, with Circle's market capitalization reaching approximately $23.8 billion after its IPO, reflecting a nearly 2.5 times increase from its issue price [5][6] - The total market size of stablecoins is projected to grow from $20 billion in 2020 to $246 billion by May 2025, with a trading volume increase of 598% [5] - Key growth areas identified include blockchain and fintech, renewable energy and real-world assets (RWA), and cross-border payments [5] Summary by Sections Stablecoin Market - Circle's IPO on June 5, 2025, marked a significant milestone, with its stock price increasing by nearly 170% on the first day and reaching a total market value of $29.8 billion [6][10] - The revenue model for Circle is heavily reliant on reserve income from stablecoin assets, with projected total revenue of $1.676 billion for 2024, of which approximately $1.661 billion will come from reserve income [10][11] Regulatory Developments - The U.S. Senate has made progress on the "Guiling and Establishing National Innovation for Stablecoins Act," indicating the establishment of a regulatory framework for stablecoins [11][12] - Hong Kong has also introduced a regulatory framework for stablecoins, expected to take effect within the year [11][12] Industry Trends - The humanoid robot industry is entering a critical phase, with a projected cumulative demand of approximately 2 million units by 2030 [15] - The photovoltaic equipment sector is experiencing accelerated penetration rates, with leading companies enhancing their competitive edge through technological innovations [16] - The automation sector is expected to grow significantly, with market size projected to reach approximately 55.7 billion yuan by 2026 [17]