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【招银研究|行业深度】AI医疗行业研究——技术赋能与生态重构下的医疗革命
招商银行研究· 2025-07-11 09:00
Core Insights - AI is driving the transformation and upgrading of the healthcare industry, becoming a strategic high ground for technology empowering people's livelihoods [1] - The evolution of AI in healthcare is transitioning from "assistance tools" to "intelligent participation" due to advancements in large model technology and multi-modal capabilities [2][10] - The AI healthcare ecosystem consists of three core layers: data and computing power, algorithm models and platform capabilities, and various application scenarios [1][13] Group 1: AI Healthcare Overview - AI healthcare is defined as a systematic solution based on AI technology for deep learning, pattern recognition, and intelligent decision-making to assist in diagnosis, optimize resource allocation, and improve efficiency [1] - The industry is experiencing a paradigm shift with the emergence of large models that support unified understanding and task adaptation of multi-modal medical data [2] - The AI healthcare ecosystem includes traditional healthcare, AI healthcare service, and AI healthcare technology product ecosystems, which are interdependent and collaboratively developed [13][14] Group 2: Application Scenarios - AI is widely used in medical imaging diagnosis, pathology recognition, and clinical decision support, enhancing service capabilities and diagnostic efficiency [3] - In the medical payment sector, AI aids in claims review, intelligent cost control, and personalized pricing, leading to refined management [3] - AI is also empowering genomics and molecular biology, facilitating personalized treatment pathways and pushing precision medicine into clinical practice [3] Group 3: Market Overview - The global AI healthcare market is transitioning from a "technology breakthrough" phase to a "deployment" phase, with significant growth expected, from $29.01 billion in 2024 to $50.42 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 44.0% [18][19] - In contrast, China's AI healthcare market is in a critical transition from "technology validation" to "value validation," with market size growing from 2.7 billion yuan in 2019 to 10.7 billion yuan in 2023, projected to reach 97.6 billion yuan by 2028 [19][22] Group 4: Development History - The evolution of AI in healthcare can be divided into three stages: medical informationization, internet healthcare, and intelligent healthcare, with the current transition from "internet healthcare" to "intelligent healthcare" [7][10] - AI is deeply integrated into the entire process of pre-diagnosis, diagnosis, and post-diagnosis, utilizing technologies like AI large models, medical robots, AR/VR, and 5G [7][10] Group 5: Business Opportunities - The emergence of large models is reshaping AI healthcare technology, enabling complex medical scenarios and enhancing the efficiency of healthcare professionals [2][25] - The medical data market is expected to activate with the establishment of a compliant data sharing mechanism, transforming medical data from "sleeping assets" to "efficient elements" [2][25] - AI is expected to create a closed-loop system of "data-model-scenario-payment," becoming a key driver for high-quality development in the healthcare system [3][11] Group 6: AI Medical Payment - AI in medical payment is becoming a key engine for improving the efficiency of medical insurance and commercial insurance systems, covering claims review, cost control, and fraud detection [47][48] - The application of AI in the medical payment sector is evolving from "process automation" to "risk control intelligence" and "actuarial-driven" approaches [49] Group 7: Gene Sequencing - The cost of gene sequencing is rapidly decreasing, driven by the introduction of AI and parallel computing, with costs dropping to below $100 for whole genome sequencing [52][53] - The gene sequencing industry is maturing, with applications in research and clinical fields, including non-invasive prenatal testing, tumor diagnosis, and precision treatment [52][56]