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半导体存储器泡沫
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空前的半导体存储器泡沫已经到来?
日经中文网· 2026-01-30 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The price of DRAM is experiencing significant increases due to heightened demand from AI applications, leading to supply shortages in consumer products like PCs [2][4]. Group 1: Price Trends - The bulk trading price of DRAM products for November-December 2025 has risen by 40% compared to September, and over three times compared to December 2024 [2][6]. - DDR4 8GB is priced around $6.36, and 4GB is priced at approximately $4.84, both reflecting a 40% increase from September [6]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Major companies are prioritizing supply for AI applications, resulting in insufficient availability for consumer products [2][5]. - In October 2025, a rare situation occurred where bulk trading prices could not be established due to supply shortages [4]. Group 3: Market Impact - The rise in DRAM prices is forcing some end products to increase their prices, with companies like Mouse Computer and HP indicating potential price hikes due to DRAM costs [8]. - IDC predicts that in a pessimistic scenario, PC shipments in 2026 could decrease by 8.9% compared to the previous year [8].