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CY2025营收创新高,2026年锁定WFE份额提升+先进封装双轮驱动:KLA(KLAC)FY26Q2业绩点评及业绩说明会纪要
Huachuang Securities· 2026-02-02 04:15
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [71]. Core Insights - KLA reported a record revenue of $3.297 billion for CY2025Q4, representing a year-over-year growth of 7% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 3%, surpassing the guidance midpoint [2][7]. - The company achieved a Non-GAAP gross margin of 62.6% for CY2025Q4, benefiting from strong service performance and improved manufacturing efficiency [2][7]. - For the full year of CY2025, KLA's revenue reached $12.74 billion, a 17% increase compared to the previous year, with a Non-GAAP gross margin of 62.8% [2][7]. - The company expects total revenue for CY2026Q1 to be in the range of $3.35 billion, with a projected Non-GAAP gross margin of 61.75% [22][24]. Summary by Sections 1. KLA CY25Q4 Performance - KLA achieved a revenue of $3.297 billion in CY2025Q4, with a year-over-year growth of 7% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 3%, exceeding prior guidance [2][7]. - The revenue breakdown for CY2025Q4 includes: - Wafer Inspection Equipment: $1.573 billion (48% of total revenue), 1% YoY growth, 2% QoQ growth [2][21]. - Mask Patterning Equipment: $696 million (21% of total revenue), 31% YoY growth, 4% QoQ growth [2][21]. - Specialty Semiconductor Inspection Equipment: $122 million (4% of total revenue), 15% YoY decline, 21% QoQ growth [2][21]. - PCB and Display Inspection Equipment: $80 million (2% of total revenue), 14% YoY decline, 32% QoQ decline [2][21]. - Inspection Services: $786 million (24% of total revenue), 18% YoY growth, 6% QoQ growth [2][21]. 2. Company Guidance for CY26Q1 and CY2026 - KLA anticipates total revenue for CY2026Q1 to be approximately $3.35 billion, with growth expected to accelerate in the second half of the year [22][24]. - The company projects that foundry/logic business will account for about 60% of semiconductor process control revenue, while memory business will account for about 40%, with DRAM making up 85% of memory revenue [22][24]. - The expected Non-GAAP gross margin for CY2026 is projected to be around 62% [23]. 3. Industry and Company Outlook for 2026 - The core WFE market is expected to grow to over $120 billion in 2026, with high single-digit to low double-digit growth anticipated [26]. - The advanced packaging market is projected to grow to approximately $12 billion, contributing to an overall equipment market size of around $135 billion [28]. - KLA is expected to continue outperforming the industry, with revenue growth in the first half of 2026 projected to be in the mid-single digits compared to the second half of 2025 [30]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from increasing complexity in technology and continued investment in advanced process control solutions [31].