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中国终于暴露实力!中美差距究竟有多大?张召忠:我可以负责任讲,别再被误导了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 12:07
Economic Milestone - China's GDP, including Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan, has surpassed $20 trillion for the first time, reaching $20,196.39 billion [1] - Macau's economy has shown remarkable growth at 8.8%, leading among all provinces, while Taiwan's economy exceeded expectations with a growth rate of 4.59% [1] GDP Comparison with the US - In 2024, the US GDP is projected to be $29.21 trillion, while China's GDP (excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) is estimated at $18.94 trillion, resulting in a gap of $10.26 trillion [1] - This gap is expected to widen to $11 trillion by 2025, influenced by statistical technical factors [1] Currency and Inflation Impact - The average exchange rate of the RMB against the USD depreciated from 7.12 to 7.18 in the first half of 2025, leading to a "loss" of $160 billion in China's GDP when measured in USD [3] - The inflation difference also plays a significant role, with the US experiencing a CPI of 3% in Q1 2025, inflating nominal GDP, while China's nominal growth was only 4.6% despite a real growth of 5.4% [3] Statistical Methodology Differences - The US employs an expenditure approach to GDP calculation, including credit consumption and government stimulus, which inflates the figures, while China uses a production approach focusing on actual goods and services produced [3] Innovation and Development - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, China has made significant innovations in various fields, including shipbuilding, aerospace, and nuclear power, showcasing its technological advancements [3] - R&D investment in China has increased by nearly 50% compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, with an intensity of 2.68%, approaching developed countries' levels [4] Economic Structure Differences - The US economy is heavily service-oriented, with services accounting for 80% of its GDP, while China's manufacturing sector constitutes 28% and is enhancing its global competitiveness, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [6] - China's per capita GDP remains over six times lower than that of the US, indicating different stages of economic development [6] Environmental and Market Developments - China has reduced its energy consumption per unit of GDP by 11.6% over four years, equivalent to a reduction of 1.1 billion tons of CO2 emissions [6] - The establishment of a unified national market has led to a growth of over 40% in private enterprises compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [6]