【文/观察者网专栏作者 张诚信】 近年来，台湾民进党当局热衷于在人均GDP指标上大做文章，以宣扬其相对于大陆的所谓"优越性"。台 湾地区领导人赖清德近期在接受外媒采访时就大放厥词，称大陆不应考虑"如何扩张"，而是要"把民众 照顾得更好"，而台湾"乐意帮助大陆解决经济问题"。 对此，国台办发言人陈斌华回应称："预计2025年台湾GDP不如大陆许多省，真不知赖清德哪里来的自 信。"但台湾"陆委会"政务副主任委员梁文杰仍不依不饶，称台湾人均GDP远超大陆，而且大陆"经济发 展不平衡"。梁文杰对记者强调，就人均水平及贫富差距来说，台湾的表现明显优于大陆。 可以看出，民进党当局的逻辑是，人均GDP是衡量政府能否把民众照顾得更好的核心指标，人均GDP账 面数字的差距就等于两岸的民生福祉差距。 民众在台北年货大街上选购果冻。 图源：新华社 表面的高人均GDP掩盖了更突出的收入不平等问题 GDP是指一个经济体在特定时间段内创造的全部最终产品和服务的价值总和，反映的是经济活动的总规 模。但这一性质本身恰恰决定了，这一价值总和是生产的结果，而不是分配完成的结果。这些价值在各 个市场主体的需求驱动下流向不同的部门，服务于不同的目的 ...

Investment consulting business qualification：CSRC License [2012] No. 669 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669 号 中信期货国际化研究 | CITIC Futures International Research 2026/2/11 风险因素：1）地缘风险；2）东盟与印度经济增速不及预期；3）铁矿石与废钢供应超预期；4） 全球经济衰退。 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人投资建议。我司不会因为关注、收到或 阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户。 This report is not a service under the futures trading consulting business. The opinions and information provided are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice to anyone. CITIC Futures will not consider re ...

这第一呢是说，别看你总量增长了，但人均GDP你就是没法跟人家美国和西方发达国家相比，要有自知之明，你还差的很远很远。一般说这种话的，几乎 都是恨国不死的，不奇怪，也不要理会就是了。这第二种呢，是很多爱国的博主、主播，他们就会反驳第一种说词，说，根据世界银行和国际货币基金组 织通用的"购买力平价"理论，也叫PPP计算方式，根据这个理论，我们中国的GDP早在2014年就超越了美国，按这个计算，如今我们的经济总量是美国的 两倍有余。这第三呢，就很"理中客"了，他们说，中美两国的GDP统计方法根本不同，没有办法比较。以上三种说法，听起来是各有道理，但总觉得哪儿 有点不对劲。所以户主今天就再次拆解一下，掰碎了，压扁、压长了说说。 每年年末岁首，国内外一帮人又开始拿中美GDP那点事儿说事，大有不把大中华贬低两下不舒服的样子。本来去年户主就说道过这事，但今年的唱衰风更 甚去年，所以户主又不得不站出来再叨叨几句。 今年1月19号，国家统计局公布了2025年我国的GDP的数字是140.19万亿人民币，按照汇率折算，合计19.63万亿美元，增长率为5%左右。而美国2025年的 GDP大概率会冲破30万亿，领先我们大概10万多亿。 ...

Group 1: Current Trends in Financial Assets - "Deposit migration" is a hot topic as residents shift funds from traditional savings to diversified financial assets due to declining deposit rates and increasing wealth management awareness[1] - In comparison to the US, Japan, Germany, the UK, and South Korea, cash and deposits account for over 30% of residents' financial assets in most countries, with Japan and South Korea around 50%[3] - By 2030, it is projected that Chinese residents' holdings of cash and deposits, stocks and equity, funds, insurance, and bonds will grow by 42%, 43%, 22%, 61%, and 16% respectively compared to 2025 estimates[3] Group 2: Factors Influencing Asset Allocation - The proportion of equity assets is generally positively correlated with per capita GDP, with China's current equity asset share at 31%[3] - Aging populations increase the share of low-risk assets, as older individuals tend to prefer safer investments[3] - Low interest rates encourage residents to seek higher returns, leading to increased risk asset allocation, though the exact path remains uncertain[3] Group 3: International Comparisons and Predictions - China's financial asset structure is expected to align more closely with the Japanese and German models rather than the Anglo-American model, emphasizing lower risk preferences[3] - China's overseas financial asset holdings have significant growth potential, with current levels being over five times lower than those in developed countries[3] - The financial deepening process in China may slow down, with financial asset growth converging towards GDP growth rates due to various economic factors[3]

毫无疑问，北上广的GDP总量长期稳居全国前列，经济实力雄厚。但如果把目光转向人均GDP，你会发 现一个颇为出乎意料的事实。以2018年上半年全国城市人均GDP排名为例，有一座城市，它的名字对很 多人来说相对陌生，可它的人均GDP却高居全国榜首，让人不禁侧目。 提起中国最富有的城市，人们的脑海里很容易浮现北上广的身影。这三座城市无疑是全国公认的超级大 都市，也是无数年轻人心驰神往、梦寐以求前去奋斗拼搏的地方。霓虹闪烁的街道、川流不息的人潮、 密集的高楼大厦，这些都是北上广的标志，也是现代中国都市生活的象征。 这座城市就是山东的东营市。今年上半年，东营的人均GDP达到了46274元，而相比之下，上海的人均 GDP为32497元，北京为31333元，广州为34169元，分别位列第七、第十一和第五。网络上甚至流传着 这样一则调侃：山东人已经无法阻止东营人的疯狂了，人均GDP远远甩开其他城市。这话一点不夸张， 东营的人均GDP确实令人瞠目结舌，几乎有逆天之势。 西汉时期，汉高祖六年（前210年），广饶县正式设立，这标志着东营地区有了正式的行政建制。在接 下来的两千多年里，这片区域的历史多围绕广饶、利津、垦利展开，农耕与 ...

人均 GDP 創新高，但你有變得更輕鬆嗎？ 當台積電撐起 GDP， 誰真正拿走了成長的果實？ 又是誰，被留在原地？ 👉 你感受到貧富差距變大了嗎？ 👉 你覺得問題出在哪？ ...

Group 1 - Japan's nominal GDP per capita for 2024 is projected to be approximately $33,800, ranking 24th among the 38 OECD member countries, a decline from 22nd place in 2023, marking a new record low [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts that Japan's GDP per capita ranking will drop to 38th globally by 2025, reflecting persistent economic issues such as low economic dynamism, population decline, and yen depreciation [1][2] - Japan's average real GDP growth from 1990 to 2023 has been only 1.0%, indicating a shift from high-speed growth to low-speed growth since the early 1990s [2] Group 2 - Japan's total population, excluding foreigners, was reported at 119.61 million as of July 1, 2025, continuing a trend of population decline for 16 consecutive years [2] - The depreciation of the yen by 30% to 40% against the dollar from 2022 to 2024 has contributed to Japan being surpassed in GDP rankings by countries with more stable currencies [2] - Japan's traditional industries are struggling to adapt, while emerging sectors lack innovation, leading to stagnation in total factor productivity and a weakening of economic competitiveness [3] Group 3 - The aging population and declining birth rates are exacerbating demographic imbalances, increasing the dependency ratio and decreasing capital formation rates, which contribute to a downward spiral in economic growth [3] - The unconventional monetary policies implemented during Abe's administration have led to significant yen depreciation without revitalizing economic momentum, resulting in expanded fiscal deficits and a liquidity trap [3] - Recent comments from Japanese citizens suggest that the decline in GDP per capita is seen as a systemic issue rather than an individual failure, indicating broader dissatisfaction with national policies [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the projected economic growth of India, which is expected to surpass Japan's GDP by 2026, making India the fourth-largest economy in the world, following the US, China, and Germany [1] Economic Projections - India's nominal GDP is forecasted to reach $4.51 trillion in 2026, slightly exceeding Japan's projected GDP of $4.46 trillion [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts India's nominal GDP for 2025 to be $4.13 trillion, while Japan's is estimated at $4.28 trillion [1] Demographic and Economic Factors - India has become the world's most populous country with over 1.4 billion people, and its economy is characterized by a young labor force [1] - Personal consumption, which constitutes about 60% of India's GDP, is steadily growing [1] Economic Disparities - Despite the growth, significant economic disparities exist within India, with the wealthiest 1% controlling approximately 40% of the nation's wealth [1] - The per capita GDP for India in 2025 is projected to be $2,820, compared to Japan's $34,710, indicating a substantial gap in wealth [1] Criticism of Economic Data - Concerns have been raised regarding the accuracy of India's economic statistics, with some economists suggesting that the actual GDP growth rate may be around 2% to 3%, significantly lower than official figures [1] - The economy is divided into a formal sector, which employs 6% of the workforce, and an informal sector, which employs 94%, complicating accurate data collection [1] Political and Social Context - The ruling party faces challenges amid rising public dissatisfaction, particularly in regions with entrenched caste systems and rural areas [1] - The article highlights that the actual economic size of India may be around $2.5 trillion, placing it seventh globally [1]

Group 1 - India's GDP has surpassed Japan's, making it the fourth largest economy in the world, with a current GDP of $4.18 trillion and a projection to reach $7.3 trillion by 2030 [1] - The report indicates that India is expected to overtake Germany within the next two and a half to three years, positioning itself among the top three economies globally [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts India's GDP to reach $4.51 trillion by 2026, while Japan's GDP is expected to be $4.46 trillion during the same period [1] Group 2 - Despite the optimistic outlook, India's per capita GDP for 2024 is projected to be only $2,694, which is significantly lower than Japan's $32,487 and Germany's $56,103 [2] - The report highlights that over a quarter of India's 1.4 billion population is aged between 10 and 26 years, emphasizing the need for the country to create high-quality jobs to absorb the growing workforce [2] - The economic growth of India is seen as resilient amid global trade uncertainties, reflecting the government's optimistic stance on the country's economic prospects [1]

Group 1 - India's GDP has surpassed Japan's, making it the fourth largest economy in the world, with a current GDP of $4.18 trillion and a projection to reach $7.3 trillion by 2030 [1] - The report indicates that India is expected to overtake Germany within the next two and a half to three years, positioning itself among the top three economies globally [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts India's GDP to reach $4.51 trillion by 2026, while Japan's GDP is expected to be $4.46 trillion during the same period [1] Group 2 - Despite the optimistic outlook, the World Bank reports that India's per capita GDP in 2024 will be only $2,694, significantly lower than Japan's $32,487 and Germany's $56,103 [2] - The report highlights that over a quarter of India's 1.4 billion population is aged between 10 and 26 years, emphasizing the need for high-quality job creation to absorb the growing workforce [2] - The economic growth of India is seen as resilient amid global trade uncertainties, reflecting the government's optimistic stance on the country's economic prospects [1]