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锅圈(02517.HK):深耕在家餐食赛道 新店模型筑基增长新支点
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-26 04:58
Core Insights - The company focuses on the home dining scene, expanding supply chain and channel collaboration, and has established itself as a leading provider of home meal solutions in China [1] - The market for home dining is experiencing strong demand and continuous expansion, particularly in lower-tier markets where competition is relatively low [1] - The company has implemented a vertical integration strategy in its supply chain, enhancing operational efficiency and creating a competitive barrier [2] Company Overview - The company has developed a comprehensive supply chain system and self-production capabilities, ensuring efficient supply and stable product quality [1] - As of the first half of 2025, the company operates 10,400 stores and has a membership base of 50.3 million [1] - The company employs a "single product, single factory" strategy, with seven production bases covering various categories, which optimizes operational resilience [2] Market Dynamics - The home dining market is benefiting from advancements in food manufacturing processes and improvements in cold chain logistics, leading to accelerated market demand [1] - The rise of the "lazy economy" is contributing to the expansion of market demand, particularly in lower-tier markets [1] - The company aims to replicate the success of Kobe Bussan, a leading Japanese prepared food company, by enhancing its operational capabilities [1] Operational Strategies - The company has diversified its store models and channel innovations to accelerate market penetration and performance growth [2] - The franchise model attracts investors in lower-tier markets, facilitating rapid expansion of the terminal network [2] - New store formats, such as convenient cooking solutions and unmanned retail stores, are being introduced to enhance sales and customer engagement [2] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 7.272 billion, 8.970 billion, and 11.252 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with core operating profits of 394 million, 464 million, and 578 million yuan respectively [3] - The company maintains a competitive edge in the market, with a valuation lower than comparable companies, and is rated as a strong buy [3]