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【科创之声】我国为何一口气申报20万颗卫星
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-19 00:59
Core Viewpoint - China's application for 203,000 satellite frequency orbits is a strategic reserve to secure its space development rights and transition from experimental to industrial capabilities in aerospace [2][3]. Group 1: International Competition and Strategic Importance - The application for 200,000 satellites is a reasonable action to defend China's space development rights amid global competition, where low Earth orbit and frequency resources are scarce and non-renewable [3]. - The current technological limit for safely deploying low Earth satellites is approximately 100,000, with an optimistic estimate of 175,000, while the total global applications have already surpassed this threshold [3]. - The "first come, first served" allocation rule by the ITU necessitates early applications to secure development opportunities, making China's application a necessary measure to lock in reasonable space for future aerospace development [3]. Group 2: Opportunities and Challenges in Commercial Space Development - The ambitious goal of 200,000 satellites will drive a comprehensive upgrade of a trillion-yuan industry chain, including rocket launches, satellite production, ground equipment, and operational services [4]. - Achieving this goal requires solid industrial capabilities, as the ITU mandates that the first satellite must be launched within seven years of application, and the entire constellation must be deployed within 14 years [4]. - There are significant challenges, including insufficient launch capacity, with only 92 launches planned in 2025 and fewer than 500 low Earth commercial satellites deployed, highlighting a substantial gap from the required annual launch rate of over 10,000 satellites [4]. Group 3: Strategies for Implementation - To realize the goal of 200,000 satellites, a three-pronged approach involving technological breakthroughs, policy support, and ecosystem collaboration is essential [5]. - Technologically, the focus should be on developing high-capacity reusable rockets and optimizing satellite mass production capabilities to ensure an annual supply of over 10,000 satellites [5]. - On the policy and resource front, it is crucial to enhance the regulatory framework, establish industry-specific funds, and optimize commercial launch site layouts to support the growth of the aerospace sector [6].
中经评论:我国为何一口气申报20万颗卫星
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-19 00:12
Core Viewpoint - China's application for 203,000 satellite frequency resources to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) is a strategic move to secure its space development rights and transition from experimental to industrial capabilities in aerospace [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Importance - The application of 203,000 satellites is a necessary action to safeguard China's space development rights amid global competition for low Earth orbit resources, which are physically scarce and non-renewable [2]. - The current technological limit for safely deploying low Earth orbit satellites is approximately 100,000, with optimistic estimates reaching 175,000, while global applications have already surpassed this threshold [2]. - The ITU's "first come, first served" allocation rule emphasizes the need for early applications to secure development opportunities, making China's application a rational and rule-compliant strategy [2]. Group 2: Industry Development - The ambitious goal of deploying 203,000 satellites presents both opportunities and challenges, potentially driving a trillion-yuan industry upgrade encompassing rocket launches, satellite production, ground equipment, and operational services [3]. - Achieving this goal requires substantial industrial capabilities, as the ITU mandates that the first satellite must be launched within seven years of application, and the entire constellation must be deployed within 14 years [3]. - Current launch capacity is a significant bottleneck, with only 500 low Earth commercial satellites deployed in 2025, highlighting a vast gap compared to the annual requirement of over 10,000 satellites to meet the 203,000 target [3]. Group 3: Implementation Strategies - To realize the goal of 203,000 satellites, a three-pronged approach involving technological breakthroughs, supportive policies, and collaborative ecosystems is essential [4]. - Technological focus should be on developing high-capacity reusable rockets and optimizing satellite mass production capabilities to ensure an annual supply of over 10,000 satellites [4]. - Policy frameworks need to be enhanced, including establishing industry-specific funds, optimizing commercial launch site layouts, and fostering collaboration between state-owned and private enterprises to avoid chaotic competition [4]. Group 4: International Cooperation - Emphasizing a shared future for humanity, there is a need to establish an international regulatory mechanism for space resources that includes pre-deployment assessments [4]. - Collaboration with other countries on collision warnings and space debris management is crucial, alongside technology sharing and joint research initiatives within the framework of international regulations [4].
我国为何一口气申报20万颗卫星
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-18 22:14
Core Viewpoint - China's application for 203,000 satellite frequency resources to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) is a strategic move to secure its space development rights and transition from experimental to industrial capabilities in aerospace [1] Group 1: Strategic Importance - The application for over 200,000 satellites is a necessary action to safeguard China's interests in the competitive global space resource landscape [1] - Low Earth orbit (LEO) resources are physically scarce and non-renewable, with a current safe deployment limit of approximately 100,000 satellites, while global applications have already surpassed this threshold [1] - The ITU's "first come, first served" allocation rule emphasizes the need for early applications to secure development opportunities, making China's submission a rational step [1] Group 2: Industry Development - The ambitious goal of 200,000 satellites presents both opportunities and challenges, potentially driving a trillion-yuan industry upgrade encompassing rocket launches, satellite production, ground equipment, and operational services [2] - Achieving this goal requires substantial industrial capabilities, as the ITU mandates that the first satellite must be launched within seven years of application and the entire constellation within 14 years [2] - Current launch capacity is a significant bottleneck, with only 500 low Earth commercial satellites deployed in 2025, highlighting a vast gap compared to the annual requirement of over 10,000 satellites [2] Group 3: Implementation Strategy - To realize the 200,000 satellite goal, a three-pronged approach involving technological breakthroughs, policy support, and ecosystem collaboration is essential [3] - Technological focus should be on developing high-capacity reusable rockets and optimizing satellite mass production capabilities to ensure an annual supply of over 10,000 satellites [3] - Policy frameworks need to be enhanced, including establishing industry-specific funds and optimizing commercial launch site layouts to support sustainable growth in the aerospace sector [3] - International cooperation is crucial, advocating for a regulatory mechanism for space resources and fostering collaborative efforts in collision warning and space debris management [3]