【文/观察者网 陈思佳】"印度富豪对特朗普寄予厚望，却高估了印度对美国的重要性。"据英国《金融 时报》12月30日报道，自美国总统特朗普就任以来，印度富豪花费数十万美元在美国开展游说活动，试 图加强与特朗普政府的关系。但近一年时间过去，他们不仅一无所获，甚至未能引起特朗普的注意。 报道称，特朗普就任美国总统后，印度第一大富翁、信实工业集团董事长穆克什·安巴尼和第二大富 翁、阿达尼集团董事长高塔姆·阿达尼迅速采取行动，试图拉近与特朗普的关系，为自己的企业争取更 多利益。他们相信，特朗普政府将与印度建立"友好的关系"。 特朗普的长子小唐纳德·特朗普造访了安巴尼在印度西部的炼油厂，并在安巴尼的儿子阿南特·安巴尼的 陪同下参观了他们的大型私人动物园。特朗普的另一个儿子埃里克·特朗普表示，他正在印度开发几家 酒店，一家与安巴尼有关的公司向特朗普集团支付了1000万美元的"开发费用"。 信实工业集团是印度最大的俄罗斯原油买家，但在特朗普10月宣布制裁俄罗斯石油公司和卢克石油公司 之后，信实主动迎合美国制裁，暂停购买俄油。美国参议院披露的一份文件还显示，安巴尼今年花费了 24万美元在美国开展游说活动。 一位与安巴尼关系密切 ...

Core Points - The visit of Russian President Putin to India is significant as it marks his first visit to India since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, aiming to strengthen the "special and privileged strategic partnership" between Russia and India [1][6] - The meeting is overshadowed by the complexities of US-India relations, with analysts describing Modi's position as a "tightrope walk" between the two major powers [1][7] Group 1: Meeting Arrangements - Modi welcomed Putin at the Palam Air Force Base, breaking from tradition, and hosted a private dinner to reciprocate the hospitality shown during Modi's visit to Russia last year [1][2] - The formal activities of the visit are scheduled for December 5, including a welcoming ceremony and various bilateral discussions [4] Group 2: Expected Outcomes - Approximately 10 intergovernmental and departmental documents, along with over 15 business agreements and memorandums, are expected to be signed during the visit [5] - A significant joint statement will outline future cooperation in political, security, economic, financial, transportation, energy, education, and cultural sectors, including a development plan for economic cooperation until 2030 [5] Group 3: Defense Cooperation - Defense cooperation is a focal point, with discussions anticipated on the S-400 missile system, Su-57 fighter jets, and potential collaboration on the S-500 missile system [5] - India aims to balance its trade with Russia and is looking to expand market access for Indian goods, especially in light of the large business delegation accompanying Putin [5] Group 4: Geopolitical Context - The visit highlights the stability of the Russia-India strategic partnership amidst Western attempts to isolate Russia, indicating that Russia maintains strong international ties [6] - The backdrop of the visit includes tensions in US-India relations, particularly regarding tariffs and sanctions related to oil imports from Russia [7][8]

Group 1 - The Marbat festival in India has unexpectedly become a focal point of international public opinion, with a statue resembling Trump symbolizing the deteriorating India-US relations [2][4] - The statue's base features slogans expressing anti-American sentiments, reflecting the growing discontent among the Indian populace due to US tariffs and scrutiny over India's oil purchases from Russia [4][6] - India's foreign minister responded assertively to US criticisms, highlighting the hypocrisy of US oil purchases while accusing India of wrongdoing [6] Group 2 - In response to the deteriorating relations, India has initiated a dual strategy of domestic and international actions, including public protests against American goods and a push for "Make in India" initiatives [8][10] - The "Mya Jyan Shakti" project aims to establish a robust air defense network, signaling India's intent to enhance its defense capabilities and reduce reliance on the US [10][12] - India is also pursuing ambitious goals in the semiconductor and electric vehicle sectors, aiming to revive its semiconductor industry and become the largest electric vehicle producer by 2030 [10][12] Group 3 - India's diplomatic efforts include seeking cooperation with China for resources and negotiating with France for technology transfer in defense projects, although skepticism exists regarding the feasibility of these collaborations [12][14] - The deepening of oil cooperation with Russia and forming alliances with countries like Brazil indicate India's strategy to counter US pressure, though these alliances may lack long-term stability [15][19] - India's misjudgment of its strategic value has led to a decline in the special treatment it previously received from the West, resulting in punitive tariffs and a potential loss of industrial support [17][19] Group 4 - The Marbat festival's statue and the strong responses from Indian officials highlight the underlying weaknesses in India's industrial base and diplomatic foundations, suggesting that mere rhetoric will not suffice for long-term success [21] - India's ambitious military and industrial goals, such as the AMCA fighter jet program, may not be achievable without addressing fundamental industrial shortcomings and establishing stable diplomatic relations [21]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a potential thaw in US-India relations after a period of tension due to tariffs imposed by the US on Indian goods [1][2] - President Trump expressed his continued friendship with Modi and described US-India relations as "special," which was positively acknowledged by Modi [1] - Despite the positive rhetoric, there are underlying concerns within India regarding the reliability of the US as a partner, with an anonymous Indian official highlighting past grievances [2] Group 2 - The US has imposed a 25% additional tariff on Indian goods, contributing to rising anti-American sentiment in India, leading to boycotts of major US brands [2] - The US Commerce Secretary indicated that India is expected to return to trade negotiations with the US within two months, suggesting a possible resolution to ongoing trade disputes [1] - Indian Foreign Minister Jaishankar emphasized the importance of the US-India partnership, although he noted that there is no further information to share regarding ongoing communications [1]

Group 1 - Indian Prime Minister Modi will not attend the UN General Assembly in New York this month, with Foreign Minister Jaishankar representing him instead [1][3] - The absence of Modi comes amid ongoing tensions in the US-India trade dispute, with the Trump administration imposing a 25% punitive tariff on Indian goods due to India's import of Russian oil, raising the total tariff rate on Indian products to 50% [1][3] - The 80th UN General Assembly is scheduled from September 23 to 29, and the meeting is significant due to ongoing international crises, including the Israel-Palestine conflict and the Russia-Ukraine war [3] Group 2 - Trump expressed his continued friendship with Modi and reassured that there is no need to worry about US-India relations, despite reports of a cooling relationship [3] - Modi publicly appreciated Trump's remarks on social media, emphasizing the positive and forward-looking nature of the US-India strategic partnership [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the nomination of Sergio Ghor as the U.S. Ambassador to India and Special Envoy for South and Central Asia by President Trump, which requires Senate approval [1][3] - Ghor is considered a close friend of Trump and has a strong political background, having served as the Director of the White House Office of Presidential Personnel [3] - His nomination is seen as a signal to the Modi government, indicating a serious approach to negotiations between the U.S. and India, especially after previous tensions over tariffs and oil purchases from Russia [3] Group 2 - Ghor's appointment is viewed with caution by Indian media, which acknowledges the potential for improved communication but also expresses concerns about his limited experience in the region [3] - Some supporters of stronger U.S.-India relations are optimistic, believing that Ghor's close ties to Trump will facilitate direct communication on unresolved issues [3] - Ghor will replace Eric Garcetti, whose term ended in January 2025, and the position has been vacant since then [3]

Group 1 - Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar refuted speculation that recent diplomatic contacts between India and China were driven by U.S. trade actions, stating that the development of India-China relations is a direct response to changes in India-U.S. relations, and such views are a "misanalysis" [1] - Jaishankar emphasized that the relationship between New Delhi and Beijing is part of a long-term trajectory and should not be simplified as a one-time reaction to specific global events, acknowledging that the global landscape is evolving and bilateral relations, including India-China, are fluid [1] - The context of Jaishankar's statements includes rising tensions in India-U.S. relations due to increased tariffs on Indian goods following India's purchase of Russian oil, with Jaishankar asserting that India has its own red lines in trade negotiations and will protect the interests of Indian farmers and small producers [2] Group 2 - Jaishankar responded to U.S. accusations regarding India's resale of Russian oil to Europe, stating that if the U.S. has issues with purchasing oil or refined products from India, they are not compelled to do so, highlighting that both Europe and the U.S. continue to buy from India [2] - The recent high-level contacts between India and China included a meeting between Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Jaishankar, as well as a meeting with Indian Prime Minister Modi, occurring before Modi's planned attendance at the upcoming Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in China [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi will visit India from August 18 to 20, marking the first visit by a Chinese foreign minister to India in over three years, which is seen as a significant step in maintaining diplomatic contact between the two countries [1][2] - During the visit, Wang Yi is expected to meet with Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar and National Security Advisor Ajit Doval to discuss measures to increase mutual trust and to explore the resumption of border trade and a mutually acceptable framework for resolving border issues [1][2] - The backdrop of this visit includes previous meetings between Doval and Wang Yi, where they reached six points of consensus regarding the border issue, indicating ongoing constructive dialogue [2] Group 2 - The news highlights the current tensions in India-US relations due to the US imposing a 25% tariff on Indian goods and threatening further penalties, prompting India to seek stronger ties with China [3] - Following Wang Yi's visit, S. Jaishankar is scheduled to visit Russia, indicating the importance of India's relationships with both China and Russia amid the strained India-US relations [3] - Despite bilateral tensions, India and China are actively participating in multilateral forums such as BRICS, SCO, and G20, demonstrating a commitment to cooperation on a global platform [3][4]

Group 1: Core Views - The relationship between the US and India has cooled significantly, with President Trump expressing indifference towards India's economic situation and threatening tariffs on Indian goods [1][4] - Trump's recent comments about India's potential cessation of Russian oil purchases were quickly denied by Indian officials, emphasizing the long-term contracts in place and India's role in stabilizing the global energy market [2][3] - The imposition of a 25% tariff on Indian imports by the US was unexpected for India and has led to structural cracks in the US-India strategic partnership [1][4] Group 2: Economic Implications - The 25% tariff is projected to have a minimal impact on India's economy, estimated at less than 0.2% of the total economic output, but the agricultural sector remains a sensitive issue due to its significant voter base [4][5] - India's continued import of Russian oil is crucial for its economic stability, as switching to more expensive oil from other countries could slow economic growth and lead to social unrest [3][4] - Prime Minister Modi's call for promoting "Make in India" products reflects an effort to bolster domestic manufacturing in response to external pressures [5] Group 3: Strategic Dynamics - The evolving US-India relationship is marked by structural issues, including India's increasing protectionism and strategic autonomy, which the US finds challenging to accept [6] - The balance of power in the US-India relationship has shifted, with India asserting its independence in foreign policy while the US seeks to influence India's ties with Russia and Iran [6] - Analysts suggest that the current tensions may undermine the achievements of the US-India partnership established since 1998, as both nations navigate their respective strategic interests [6]