Core Viewpoint - Domestic refined oil prices have been reduced for the eighth time this year, with a significant probability of further declines in the future [1][4]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - As of October 13, the National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction of 75 yuan/ton for gasoline and 70 yuan/ton for diesel, translating to a decrease of 0.06 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [1]. - For an average private car with a 50L fuel tank, this price adjustment will save approximately 3 yuan when filling up, while large logistics vehicles will see a reduction of about 2.4 yuan for every 100 kilometers driven [1]. Group 2: Market Trends - The current pricing cycle has seen a downward trend in international crude oil prices, influenced by OPEC's anticipated production increase and a rise in U.S. crude oil production forecasts [3]. - The market sentiment is turning cautious due to concerns over economic and energy demand prospects, exacerbated by the U.S. government shutdown [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict a high likelihood of further price reductions in the next round of refined oil pricing, driven by ongoing OPEC+ production increases and a generally weak global economic outlook [4]. - The next pricing window is expected to open on October 27, 2025, with initial estimates suggesting a potential reduction of 260 yuan/ton based on current crude oil prices [5].