来源：智通财经 国内成品油价迎年内第十次下调。 11月24日，国家发改委发布消息称，自24时起，国内汽油价格和柴油价格分别下调70元/吨和65元/吨。 折合升价，92号汽油下调0.05元，95号汽油和0号柴油均下调0.06元。 此次调价后，私家车和物流企业用油成本均有所下降。 按照油箱容量为50L的家用轿车为例，加满一箱92号汽油将节省2.5元；对于月跑1万公里，百公里油耗 在38L的重型卡车为例，在下次调价窗口开启前，单辆车的燃油成本将减少106元左右。 她分析指出，后期来看，未来东欧和谈有望降低石油供应担忧，国际贸易争端与产业过剩预期的大背景 下，油市或承压偏弱运行，下轮存在"二连跌"可能。 本轮是2025年第二十三次调价，也是今年的第十次下调。本次调价过后，2025年成品油调价将呈现"三 涨五跌两搁浅"的格局。 本轮调价后，全国大多数地区车柴价格6.5-6.7元/升，92号汽油零售限价在6.8-6.9元/升。 本计价周期以来，国际原油未走出单边行情，整体呈现宽幅波动走势。受此影响，国内参考的原油变化 率始终在负值范围内波动。 卓创资讯成品油分析师高青翠分析指出，市场传出美国将和欧洲某国举行和谈，受到此消 ...

2025.11. 24 本文字数：890，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 郭霁莹 展望后市，隆众资讯表示，美国积极推进俄乌双方的新和平协议谈判，地缘局势有望出现进一步缓 和，此外石油输出国组织OPEC+增产氛围仍在延续，美元也有所走强。整体来看，预计下一轮成品 油调价下调概率较大。 本轮成品油价格调整幅度不大。综合能源咨询机构测算，本次调价对应的92号汽油、95号汽油、0 号柴油每升将下调0.06元左右。至此，全国大多数地区车柴价格将降至6.5元-6.7元/升，92号汽油 零售价将降至6.8元-6.9元/升，重新步入"6元时代"。 本轮调价后，私家车主和物流企业出行成本将有所减少。据隆众资讯测算，以油箱容量50升的普通 私家车计算，本次调价后，车主们加满一箱油将少花2.5元左右；按市区百公里耗油7-8升的车型， 平均每行驶一百公里费用减少0.35元左右；而对满载50吨的大型物流运输车辆而言，平均每行驶一 百公里，燃油费用将减少2.4元左右。 本轮调价周期内，国际油价先扬后抑。具体来看，据金联创成品油分析师王延婷介绍，计价周期初 期，美国对卢克石油公司实施制裁，引发俄罗斯出口流量可能面临短期中断猜测，加 ...

此次调价后，私家车和物流企业用油成本均有所下降。 智通财经记者 | 田鹤琪 国内成品油价迎年内第十次下调。 11月24日，国家发改委发布消息称，自24时起，国内汽油价格和柴油价格分别下调70元/吨和65元/吨。折合升价，92号汽油下调0.05元，95号 汽油和0号柴油均下调0.06元。 截至11月24日北京时间上午8时，WTI即月原油期货收盘跌0.32%，报57.75美元/桶；布伦特即月原油期货收盘涨0.5%，报61.64美元/桶。 图片来源：隆众资讯 下一轮成品油价格预计下调。 隆众资讯原油分析师李彦表示，展望后市，美国积极推进俄乌双方的新和平协议谈判，地缘局势有望出现进一步缓和，此外欧佩克加增产氛 围仍在延续，美元也有所走强。整体来看，预计下一轮成品油调价下调的概率较大。 按照油箱容量为50L的家用轿车为例，加满一箱92号汽油将节省2.5元；对于月跑1万公里，百公里油耗在38L的重型卡车为例，在下次调价窗 口开启前，单辆车的燃油成本将减少106元左右。 本轮是2025年第二十三次调价，也是今年的第十次下调。本次调价过后，2025年成品油调价将呈现"三涨五跌两搁浅"的格局。 本轮调价后，全国大多数地区车柴价 ...

"预计本轮成品油零售限价压线小幅下调概率较大，折合升价，汽、柴油下调幅度或在0.05元／升左 右。对于广大消费者而言，加满一箱50升的92号汽油，预计将节省2.5元左右，整体变化有限。"王芦青 补充说。 （文章来源：新华财经） 据卓创资讯分析师王芦青具体介绍，本计价周期以来，受美俄最新有关俄乌冲突的消息影响，油价在宽 幅波动中承压调整，地缘溢价继续回吐。不过，周内公布的美国原油库存数据显示上周美国商业原油意 外去库，且美国单周的汽油需求和馏分油需求环比也出现增加，表明美国石油基本面短期偏强，支撑油 价。在上述因素影响下，本周期原油价格宽幅震荡，对应的原油变化率在负值范围内低位波动。据卓创 资讯测算，截至11月20日收盘，国内第9个工作日，参考原油变化率-1.24%，预计汽柴油下调55元／ 吨，调价窗口11月24日24时。 本计价周期（2025年11月10日24时至2025年11月24日24时）以来，国际原油呈现宽幅震荡行情，受此影 响，国内参考的原油变化率在在负值范围内波动，第9个工作日计算后的下调幅度在55元／吨，略高于 50元／吨的成品油调价红线。考虑到目前距离调价窗口仅剩一个工作日，且原油或继续低位震荡 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that a new round of fuel price adjustments will take effect on November 10, with domestic gasoline and diesel prices increasing slightly due to fluctuations in international oil prices [1] - From November 10, the retail price limits for gasoline and diesel will be raised by 125 yuan and 120 yuan per ton, respectively, leading to an increase of 0.10 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel on average nationwide [1] - During the adjustment period from October 25 to November 7, international oil prices experienced narrow fluctuations [1] Group 2 - A calculation indicates that filling a 50-liter tank with 92-octane gasoline will cost an additional 5 yuan due to the price increase [2]

Core Insights - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to increase due to a predicted rise in international crude oil prices, with an estimated increase of over 50 yuan/ton [1] - The current pricing cycle shows a positive change rate of 2.82%, leading to anticipated increases of 125 yuan/ton for gasoline and 120 yuan/ton for diesel, translating to a rise of 0.10 yuan/liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [1] Price Adjustments - Since 2025, there have been 21 rounds of adjustments in domestic refined oil retail prices, resulting in six increases, nine decreases, and six instances of no change, with prices down by 745 yuan/ton for gasoline and 715 yuan/ton for diesel compared to the end of last year [2][3] - The specific price adjustments for gasoline and diesel from January to October 2025 show significant fluctuations, with the highest increase of 340 yuan/ton for gasoline and the largest decrease of 480 yuan/ton [3] Market Trends - Recent data indicates a decline in wholesale prices for 92 gasoline and 0 diesel, with average prices at 7325 yuan/ton and 6456 yuan/ton respectively, reflecting a decrease of 2.51% and 0.38% [4][5] - Analysts suggest that the current weak international crude oil market and insufficient demand in the gasoline market are contributing to the price declines, while diesel prices are somewhat supported by seasonal demand [5] Future Outlook - The crude oil market is experiencing fluctuating sentiments, with Brent crude oil prices oscillating between 63 to 65 USD/barrel, indicating a need to monitor the support level at 63 USD/barrel closely [5] - Potential upward risks in the crude oil market are primarily linked to geopolitical issues, although fundamental pressures have not yet eased significantly [5]

Core Points - The recent adjustment in domestic fuel prices is a result of fluctuations in international oil prices, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 265 yuan and 255 yuan per ton respectively, effective from October 27 [1] - Filling a 50-liter tank with 92-octane gasoline will cost approximately 10 yuan less after the price reduction [3] Price Adjustment Summary - This is the 21st price adjustment in 2025 and the 9th decrease, leading to a pattern of "six increases, nine decreases, and six stabilities" for the year [5] - The next price adjustment window will open on November 10, 2025 [5] Market Outlook - Analysts predict a significant increase in the next round of fuel price adjustments due to current international crude oil price levels [5] - Positive developments in China-U.S. trade negotiations and reduced concerns over tariffs and trade disputes may influence market conditions, although geopolitical instability remains a concern [5]

Core Points - The recent adjustment in domestic fuel prices is a result of fluctuations in international oil prices, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 265 yuan and 255 yuan per ton respectively, effective from October 27 [1] - This marks the 21st adjustment in 2025 and the 9th decrease, leading to a pricing pattern of "six increases, nine decreases, and six stabilities" for the year [3] - The next price adjustment window will open on November 10, 2025, with expectations of a significant increase in fuel prices due to current international crude oil price levels and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [3] Price Impact - Filling a 50-liter tank of 92-octane gasoline will cost approximately 10 yuan less following the price reduction [2] - The price changes reflect the current market conditions and are influenced by international trade negotiations and geopolitical factors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The probability of an increase in refined oil prices in the next adjustment cycle is high, following a recent downward adjustment in domestic fuel prices [1][2] Group 1: Recent Price Adjustments - Domestic gasoline and diesel prices will be reduced by 265 yuan and 255 yuan per ton, respectively, effective from 24:00 on October 27 [1] - This marks the first price adjustment after a series of unchanged rates, with the overall trend showing six increases, nine decreases, and six unchanged periods in 21 adjustments this year [1] - The average price of 92-octane gasoline will decrease to between 6.8 and 6.9 yuan per liter, while diesel prices will drop to between 6.6 and 6.7 yuan per liter, entering the "6 yuan era" [1] Group 2: Impact on Consumers and Businesses - The price reduction will lower travel costs for private car owners and logistics companies, with an estimated saving of about 10.5 yuan for filling a 50-liter tank [1] - For vehicles consuming 7-8 liters per 100 kilometers, the average cost per 100 kilometers will decrease by approximately 1.5 yuan [1] - For large logistics vehicles carrying 50 tons, the fuel cost per 100 kilometers will be reduced by about 8.8 yuan [1] Group 3: International Oil Price Trends - During the current pricing cycle, international oil prices initially fell due to warnings of oversupply and ongoing trade tensions, but later rebounded following geopolitical developments and U.S. sanctions on Russian oil companies [2] - The overall average price of international oil remains lower than in the previous cycle despite the rebound [2] - The next price adjustment window will open on November 10, with expectations of a potential increase in refined oil prices due to positive developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations and ongoing geopolitical instability [2]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil prices in China are set to decrease due to a shift in international oil prices from rising to falling, with gasoline and diesel prices per ton reduced by 75 yuan and 70 yuan respectively [2][3]. Price Adjustments - The recent price adjustment will lower the cost for consumers, with a decrease of approximately 0.06 yuan per liter for 92 and 95 octane gasoline and 0.06 yuan for 0 diesel [2]. - For a typical private car with a 50-liter fuel tank, filling up will cost about 3 yuan less, while for large logistics vehicles carrying 50 tons, the fuel cost per 100 kilometers will decrease by 2.4 yuan [2]. Market Trends - In 2023, there have been 20 rounds of domestic refined oil price adjustments, resulting in a pattern of six increases, eight decreases, and six stasis periods, leading to an overall decline of 480 yuan per ton for gasoline and 460 yuan per ton for diesel compared to the end of 2024 [3]. - The current gasoline and diesel prices are approximately 0.1 yuan lower per liter compared to the same period in 2024, with no price increases in over three months since the last adjustment on July 1 [3]. International Oil Price Dynamics - The international oil market has shown a weak trend due to concerns over macroeconomic conditions and fossil fuel demand, with recent fluctuations influenced by geopolitical events and trade tensions [3]. - The price of WTI crude oil fell below 60 USD, with a decline exceeding 5% on October 10, driven by reduced risk premiums and concerns over international trade [3]. Future Outlook - The next price adjustment window will open on October 27, with expectations of further price reductions due to OPEC+ starting a new round of production increases and ongoing concerns about supply surplus amid a weak global economic outlook [4].