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国际石油公司低碳投资“踩刹车”,有何启示?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 02:33
Core Viewpoint - Global low-carbon energy investment continues to grow, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) predicting that total clean energy investment will exceed $2.2 trillion by 2025. However, the oil and gas industry's low-carbon investment remains above $30 billion, but its share is declining [1]. Group 1: Investment Trends - International oil companies have been rapidly investing in low-carbon and renewable energy sectors due to government policies, market trends, and shareholder interests. However, they are now facing internal and external pressures that are affecting their low-carbon strategies [2]. - Companies that have diversified quickly over the past five years are experiencing dual pressures of value growth and cash flow stability, leading some to adjust their carbon reduction targets and prioritize short-cycle, high cash flow projects [2][6]. - Despite some companies lowering their carbon reduction goals, overall low-carbon investment by international oil companies has steadily increased since 2020, with European firms leading in investment scale and growth compared to their American counterparts [6][10]. Group 2: Key Investment Areas - The three main focus areas for low-carbon investments by international oil companies are renewable electricity (wind and solar), biofuels, and Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS), with a total investment of $86.4 billion in these areas over the past decade [7]. - European companies are diversifying their investments across various sectors, while American companies are more focused on CCUS and biofuels. CCUS is viewed as a "certain strategic pillar" for the industry, with many projects underway in Europe and North America [8][9]. - Hydrogen is also a strategic focus, with European companies favoring green hydrogen and American companies leaning towards blue hydrogen, although recent uncertainties have led to a more cautious approach to hydrogen investments [9]. Group 3: Resource Dependency - The transition to green energy is increasing the demand for key mineral resources, with lithium demand expected to grow more than threefold by 2023. This trend highlights the oil and gas industry's growing reliance on mineral resources to support green transitions [10]. - Companies like ExxonMobil are entering the lithium market, with plans to produce lithium materials for over 1 million electric vehicles by 2030, indicating a strategic shift towards securing essential resources for future energy needs [10].