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巨震之下!乱世“稀土+黄金”
格隆汇APP· 2025-10-13 10:27
Group 1: Rare Earths - The strategic value of rare earths is highlighted as an irreplaceable "countermeasure" in geopolitical conflicts, particularly in the context of US-China trade tensions [8][14]. - The recent announcement of strict export controls on rare earths by the Chinese government has significantly increased market expectations for potential export restrictions to the US, driving up the prices and interest in rare earth stocks [16][39]. - Demand for rare earths is expected to surge due to global energy transitions and technological advancements, particularly in electric vehicles, wind energy, and military applications [20][23][31]. - China dominates the global rare earth supply chain, controlling over 60% of production and 85% of refining capacity, creating a significant barrier for other countries attempting to establish their own supply chains [25][27]. - Recent price increases for rare earths have been substantial, with prices for certain elements like dysprosium and praseodymium skyrocketing, reflecting the supply-demand imbalance [32][34]. Group 2: Gold - Gold prices have reached historical highs, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty [43][45]. - Factors supporting gold price increases include expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a global trend towards "de-dollarization," leading central banks to diversify their reserves [44]. - The performance of gold ETFs, particularly the gold ETF (518680), has been strong, with significant net inflows and a high annual growth rate, making it an attractive investment option [48][50]. - The strategic role of gold in investment portfolios is emphasized, with recommendations for a substantial allocation to hedge against risks associated with credit assets [46]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Both rare earths and gold are identified as key strategic assets in the current market environment, offering unique investment opportunities amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties [51][53]. - The contrasting roles of rare earths as a growth asset and gold as a defensive asset provide investors with a balanced approach to navigating market volatility [51][52].