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WRC专家观点|国际机器人联合会主席伊藤贵之:《国际机器人产业发展现状与趋势——机器人未来十年的增长密码》
机器人圈· 2025-08-15 10:19
Core Viewpoint - The 2025 World Robot Conference will be held from August 8 to 12 in Beijing, focusing on the current state and future trends of the global robotics industry, with insights from 416 experts and scholars [1][3]. Industry Overview - The International Federation of Robotics (IFR) is a non-profit organization established in 1987, providing key statistics and acting as a representative for the global robotics industry [3]. - Initial data from April 2025 indicates a 3% decline in global new installations of industrial robots, totaling 523,000 units, with declines reported across all major regions: Asia down 2%, Europe down 6%, and the Americas down 9% [4]. Market Insights - The electronics and automotive sectors have been the primary customers for industrial robots since 2020, with the electronics sector showing slight growth while the automotive sector is experiencing significant declines [4]. - In China, new installations are projected to grow by 5% in 2024, increasing China's share in the global market from 38% to 53% over the past five years [5]. Regional Analysis - Japan's new installations are expected to drop by 7% in 2024, while the U.S. is facing a 9% decline, marking the second consecutive year of slowed installation rates [5][6]. - Europe recorded 80,000 new installations in 2024, despite a 6% decline, representing the second-highest level historically, with significant growth in the plastics and chemicals sectors [6]. Automation Trends - The robot density, defined as the number of industrial robots per 10,000 workers, shows South Korea and Singapore leading with 1,012 and 770 robots, respectively, while China ranks third with 470 robots [7]. - Five key trends are expected to impact the robotics industry by 2025: artificial intelligence, embodied robots, sustainability demands, new customer segments, and robots addressing labor shortages [8][9]. Sustainability and New Business Models - Sustainability is becoming a crucial demand in the robotics sector, particularly in the automotive industry, with automation improving material efficiency and product longevity [10]. - The market is seeing a shift towards new customer segments, including construction, laboratory automation, and logistics, with a growing focus on service products and "robot-as-a-service" business models [10]. Geopolitical and Economic Factors - Geopolitical uncertainties and ongoing tariff disputes are negatively impacting investment willingness, leading to delays in global investment decisions [11]. - China's GDP is projected to grow by approximately 4.7% in 2025, with continued demand for robots across various industries as modernization efforts proceed [11].
国际机器人联合会主席伊藤隆之:中国是全球机器人主要市场
不过,伊藤隆之也认为,尽管安装量巨大,但中国工业机器人的安装量已经趋于稳定。 在工业机器人的行业应用方面,伊藤隆之指出,全球电子与汽车两大行业并驾齐驱,为2024年最大两个 应用行业,分别为12.8万和12.6万,远高于金属机械行业的7.9万。其中,电子行业2024年的工业机器人 安装数量同比增长1%,而汽车行业当年部署数量则同比下滑了7%。 "中国是机器人主要市场。"8月9日,国际机器人联合会主席伊藤隆之在世界机器人大会发表的《国际机 器人发展现状与趋势——机器人未来十年的增长密码》演讲中透露,随着全球各大主要市场工业机器人 安装量下滑,中国市场依然保持增长,中国市场保持着全球最重要的机器人市场地位。 伊藤隆之称去年为工业机器人的挑战之年,全球工业机器人的装机量整体出现下滑态势,但中国却在逆 势增长。 他在报告中指出,经初步测算,在受到地缘政治和关税等因素的影响,去年全年,全球工业机器人装机 量下降3%,其中亚洲下降2%,欧洲下降6%,美国下降9%,但中国出现5%的逆势增长,这使得中国工 业机器人的全球市场份额从2023年的51%上升至去年的54%,进一步巩固了工业机器人大国的地位。 伊藤隆之称,中国是迄今 ...