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特朗普又开始“画饼”?
第一财经· 2025-11-24 00:44
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing political battle in the U.S. over "affordability," highlighting its significance in recent elections and the differing perspectives of the two major parties on economic policies and consumer experiences [3][4]. Group 1: Understanding Affordability - "Affordability" is described as a psychological term rather than an economic one, significantly impacting lower-income groups more than higher-income groups [4]. - The concept of "unaffordable" refers to items that are not only economically difficult to obtain but also feel out of reach, particularly for basic needs like food and housing [4]. - The sentiment of "I can't afford it" is central to the current anger among voters, who often blame the government for their struggles with affordability [4][5]. Group 2: Economic Disparities - The U.S. economy is experiencing a "K-shaped" recovery, where the top 10% of income earners contribute nearly half of total consumer spending, up from 44.6% in 2019 [5]. - Data from the Atlanta Federal Reserve indicates that wage growth for the lowest 25% of earners has dropped to its lowest level in nearly a decade, while high-income earners see faster wage growth [5]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is criticized for reflecting a consumption pattern biased towards high-income groups, while affordability issues are more democratic and relate to larger expenditures like housing [5][6]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Market Trends - There is a growing preference for private label products among price-sensitive consumers, with sales of private label foods increasing by 4.2% over the past year, compared to a 1.1% increase for national brands [6]. - The expectation of declining prices has shifted to a reality of stable or rising prices, contributing to consumer frustration [7]. - Social media exacerbates feelings of inadequacy regarding affordability, as curated lifestyles create unrealistic expectations for many consumers [7]. Group 4: Political Responses and Proposals - Recent elections saw Democratic candidates winning by focusing on affordability measures like free public transport and rent freezes, prompting a shift in Republican strategies to address affordability [8][9]. - Trump's administration has proposed various measures to lower food prices, including tariff exemptions and a $2,000 "tariff dividend" for low-income Americans, although these proposals face scrutiny regarding their feasibility and potential fiscal impact [9][10]. - The introduction of a 50-year mortgage plan has raised concerns about increased interest costs and potential housing market implications [10][11].
特朗普又开始“画饼”?美国两党争夺“可负担能力”高地
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 13:33
Core Insights - The top 10% of households in the U.S. contribute nearly half of the total consumption, highlighting significant income inequality and its impact on economic discussions [1][2] - The term "affordability" has become a focal point in political discourse, with both parties vying to address the concerns of voters regarding economic conditions [1][5] - Economic sentiment among voters is heavily influenced by perceptions of affordability, particularly concerning essential needs like food and housing [2][3] Group 1: Political Landscape - Democratic candidates have gained traction by focusing on affordability issues, winning recent elections with promises of free public transport and rent freezes [1][5] - Former President Trump has shifted his stance on affordability, emphasizing that the current administration has exacerbated the crisis and that his policies would rectify it [1][5] - The political narrative around affordability is tied to broader economic sentiments, with many voters feeling a sense of anger and frustration over their financial situations [2][5] Group 2: Economic Disparities - The U.S. economy is experiencing a "K-shaped" recovery, where the wealthiest households are seeing significant consumption growth, while lower-income groups face stagnation [2][3] - Data from the Atlanta Federal Reserve indicates that wage growth for the lowest 25% of earners has reached a decade low, contrasting with the rising wages of higher-income groups [3][4] - The perception of inflation and affordability varies significantly among different income groups, with higher-income individuals less affected by price increases [4][5] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - There is a notable shift in consumer preferences towards private label brands, which have seen a 4.2% sales increase compared to a mere 1.1% for national brands [4] - The emotional aspect of affordability is emphasized, as consumers express frustration over their inability to purchase desired goods, influenced by social media portrayals of lifestyles [5][6] - The expectation of price declines has contributed to dissatisfaction, as consumers face unexpected price increases in durable goods [4][5] Group 4: Government Response - The Trump administration is actively proposing measures to enhance affordability, including tariff exemptions on various food products and potential cash distributions to lower-income households [5][6] - Proposed 50-year mortgage loans have raised concerns about their long-term financial implications for homebuyers, potentially leading to higher overall costs [6][7] - The feasibility of these proposals hinges on legislative approval, with skepticism regarding their effectiveness in addressing the needs of the most affected populations [7][8]