食品杂货 根据美国劳工统计局消费者价格指数数据，杂货价格自2017年起持续上涨。 餐饮业 Chipotle（-44.7%）； Sweetgreen（-79.9%）； Shack Shack（-38.71%）； Wingstop（-14.7%）。 住房与公用事业 2025年美国通胀持续攀升，食品、交通和住房成为涨幅最大的日常开支类别。最新消费者物价指数报告显示，美国通胀率达3%，较年初上升4个百分点， 仍高于美联储2%的目标水平。 咖啡价格上涨超30%； 碎牛肉价格上涨17%，牛排上涨13%； 橙汁与香蕉均上涨7%； 大米价格上涨5%。 CPI数据显示，外出就餐价格创历史新高，非家庭用餐成本上涨超过2%。 餐饮企业客流量已连续九个月下滑。 快餐连锁店通过降价与推出特价菜品吸引消费者。 中档休闲连锁品牌（定价高于快餐店）股价今年普遍下跌： 全美房地产经纪人协会数据显示，现房单户住宅中位价从1月的398,100美元升至10月的420,600美元，涨幅近6%。 居民用电价格较年初上涨13%，人工智能数据中心集中州涨幅显著。 气候变化导致部分地区房屋保险成本上升，个别高风险州份出现房主失去保险的情况。 交通运输 政策与 ...

Group 1 - Gold prices reached inflation-adjusted levels not seen since the Carter administration, indicating a strong demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties [1][2] - Silver surged by 146%, leading all major asset classes, driven by demand from solar panels, data centers, and electric vehicles [1][3] - The VIX, a measure of market volatility, decreased by 16%, suggesting that Wall Street remained relatively unfazed by geopolitical tensions and economic challenges [2] Group 2 - The performance of hard assets, such as gold, silver, and copper, was favored over digital assets due to factors like AI developments, tariff issues, and a weaker dollar [3] - Energy prices initially held steady despite geopolitical conflicts but later declined due to concerns over oversupply [2] - The demand for copper and silver is expected to continue, supported by their essential roles in technology and renewable energy sectors [3]

Key Insights - The global commodity market in 2025 shows a clear divergence, with energy and agricultural prices declining while precious metals (like gold and silver) and industrial metals (like copper) continue to rise and reach new highs. This situation is influenced by changes in global demand, geopolitical tensions, monetary policy adjustments, and the development of the new energy industry. This divergence is expected to persist into 2026, with energy prices anticipated to further decline due to oversupply, while precious metal prices are projected to continue rising [1]. Energy - The global crude oil market in 2025 experienced significant volatility, with Brent crude prices fluctuating between $60 and $70 per barrel by year-end. Geopolitical tensions and policy changes were key drivers of price movements, with prices peaking at $83 per barrel early in the year due to U.S. sanctions on Russia [3][5]. - In the second half of 2025, the market shifted from being geopolitically driven to one characterized by oversupply and weak demand, leading to a downward trend in oil prices. OPEC+ adjusted its strategy from production cuts to phased increases, while U.S. production reached historical highs, resulting in rapid inventory accumulation [5][6]. - For 2026, the oil market is expected to face severe oversupply pressures, with Brent crude prices projected to drop further. Analysts predict a price range of $56 to $60 per barrel, with some forecasts suggesting a potential dip to $51 per barrel in early 2026 [7]. Natural Gas - The global natural gas market in 2025 showed a "high then low" pattern, with prices initially rising due to cold weather and geopolitical factors but later declining as new U.S. production came online and demand slowed in Asia [8][10]. - In 2026, the market is expected to transition from a "tight balance" to "periodic oversupply," driven by increased LNG production from the U.S., Qatar, and Canada. Despite ample supply, demand is projected to rise by 2%, providing some price support [10]. Uranium - The uranium market in 2025 transitioned from "de-bubbling" to "structural support," with prices rebounding from a low of approximately $63 per pound to around $81-83 per pound by year-end. This was driven by renewed demand from nuclear power and AI data centers [11][13]. - For 2026, expectations are for uranium prices to accelerate upward, with forecasts suggesting prices could reach $91 per pound, with some estimates as high as $135 per pound due to increasing demand and supply constraints [14]. Precious Metals - Precious metals experienced a "historic rally" in 2025, with gold prices rising approximately 70% and silver prices soaring over 160%. This was fueled by central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and a low-interest-rate environment [15][17]. - For 2026, major financial institutions predict continued bullish trends for gold, with average prices expected to range from $4,500 to $5,000 per ounce, driven by central bank strategies and concerns over U.S. dollar credit [18][19]. Industrial Metals - The industrial metals market in 2025 was characterized by extreme differentiation, with copper prices reaching historical highs due to demand from AI data centers and global grid upgrades. Copper prices exceeded $12,700 per ton [21]. - In 2026, copper and tin are expected to remain strong, with copper potentially reaching $15,000 per ton, while tin prices may rise to $44,000 per ton due to ongoing supply constraints [28]. Agricultural Products - Cocoa prices fell significantly in 2025 after reaching a peak in 2024, while coffee prices exhibited a high-level fluctuation, with expectations for a return to balance in 2026 as supply improves [25][27]. - For 2026, cocoa is expected to see a surplus of about 150,000 tons, leading to price declines, while coffee prices are projected to drop significantly due to increased production in Brazil and Colombia [29][32].

12月25日（周四）适逢美国圣诞节假期，金融市场交易时间有所调整。 外盘交易所休市安排如下：均为北京时间 | 交易所 | 市场/交易品种 | 2025年12月24日 | 2025年12月25日 | 2025年12月26日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (星期三) | (星期四) | (星期五) | | CME | 股指 | 电子盘次日凌晨2:15提前收市 | 休市 | 正常交易 | | | 利率 | 电子盘次日凌晨2:15提前收市 | 休市 | 正常交易 | | | 外汇 | 电子盘次日凌晨2:45提前收市 | 休市 | 正常交易 | | NYMEX | 美原油、美燃油、汽油 | 电子盘次日凌晨2:45提前收市 | 休市 | 正常交易 | | | 铂金、铝合 | 电子盘次日凌晨2:45提前收市 | 休市 | 正常交易 | | COMEX | 铜、金、银 | 电子盘次日凌晨2:45提前收市 | 休市 | 正常交易 | | CBOT | 美豆、美玉米、美豆粗、美豆油、美麦 | 电子盘次日凌晨2:05提前收市 | 休市 | 延迟至22:30开市 | | ICE(美国 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed schedule of trading hours for various exchanges during the holiday period from December 24 to December 26, 2025, highlighting early closures and market holidays for different commodities and indices [1]. Group 1: Trading Hours Overview - CME will have early closures for stock indices and interest rates on December 24, with no trading on December 25, and normal trading resuming on December 26 [1]. - NYMEX will also close early for crude oil and other energy products on December 24, with a complete market holiday on December 25, and normal trading on December 26 [1]. - CBOT will see early closures for agricultural products on December 24, a market holiday on December 25, and delayed opening on December 26 [1]. Group 2: Specific Commodities and Indices - ICE (U.S.) will have early closures for cotton, coffee, cocoa, and orange juice on December 24, with a market holiday on December 25, and normal trading on December 26 for certain products [1]. - CBOE will close early for the VIX index on December 24, with no trading on December 25, and normal trading on December 26 [1]. - HKEX will operate half-day trading on December 24, with a market holiday on December 25, and no trading on December 26 [1].

海西晨报2025-12-21 21:40:56 一名中国女性乘客在爱达月光号（AIDAluna）邮轮上失踪，引发多国关注。 失踪者秦冬（音译）于12月10日从帕尔马·德马略卡登船，参加地中海航线旅行。邮轮12月12日停靠法 国马赛后，她便失去联系。 记录显示秦冬在船期间仅消费过一杯橙汁（非酒精饮料）。目前尚无法确认是否发生落水事件，但未有 紧急警报或搜救行动的报告。 目前多方已介入调查。近期欧洲已发生多起邮轮乘客失踪后自行出现的案例，且同样未触发落水警报。 ※ 编辑：陈祥旺 ※ 校对：张铭革 ※ 审核：郑舒平 ※ 来源：综合宁波晚报等 邮轮公司证实，她确实于12月10日午前在帕尔马·德马略卡登船，此后从未办理过正式下船手续。这艘 邮轮于12月12日上午8时许抵达马赛。 ...

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Core Viewpoint - A consumer in Shenzhen reported finding a mouse in a delivery from Sam's Club, raising concerns about food safety and customer service response [1][3]. Group 1: Incident Details - On December 8, a consumer used the Sam's Club "Express Delivery" service to purchase items, including fresh milk and a box of 24 Member's Mark mochi, and found a mouse in the delivery bag [1][3]. - The customer service response to the incident was a standard reply stating they were "verifying" the issue, which did not address the concern adequately [1][3]. Group 2: Company Response - Sam's Club emphasized its commitment to food safety and customer experience, stating that they initiated a full investigation with a pest control company upon receiving the complaint [1][3]. - The company reported that their internal checks did not reveal any pest issues during the product's preparation, packaging, or storage processes [1][3]. - An investigation by third-party pest control found that the pickup location, being outdoors and surrounded by vegetation, could have allowed pests to enter the delivery bag [1][3]. Group 3: Customer Communication - The company has communicated with the consumer to resolve the issue and expressed apologies for the inconvenience caused [2][4]. - Sam's Club plans to enhance packaging management and delivery services in response to the incident [2][4].

Core Viewpoint - A consumer in Shenzhen reported finding a mouse in a delivery from Sam's Club's "Express Delivery" service, raising concerns about food safety and customer service response [1][3]. Group 1: Incident Details - On December 8, a consumer purchased items including fresh milk, orange juice, and a box of 24 Member's Mark original mochi through the Sam's Club app [1][3]. - The delivery included a silver insulated bag that contained not only the cold chain products but also a mouse [1][3]. Group 2: Customer Service Response - The following morning, the consumer contacted online customer service regarding the mouse found in the delivery [1][3]. - The customer service response was a standard reply stating "under verification, please wait patiently," which did not address the issue adequately [1][3]. Group 3: Official Response - As of the time of reporting, Sam's Club had not provided any official response to the incident when contacted by Sina Finance [2][4].

Core Viewpoint - The harvest season for Gannan navel oranges in Ganzhou, Jiangxi Province is in full swing, with farmers leveraging live streaming to attract consumers nationwide [1][5]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The planting area for navel oranges in Xunwu County, a major fruit-producing area, has reached 230,000 acres, with 80% of local farmers' income derived from fruit cultivation [8]. - The expected production of Gannan navel oranges this year is 230,000 tons, with a total output value exceeding 1 billion yuan [10]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The introduction of smart sorting technology and a comprehensive logistics system has enabled faster and higher-value distribution of navel oranges from the mountains to the market [7]. - A new citrus technology park has been established, integrating smart sorting, packaging, cold chain logistics, and processing to enhance the sales and transportation of Gannan navel oranges [8]. Group 3: Economic Impact - The efficient logistics channels and the integration of multiple courier services have strengthened the confidence of farmers and e-commerce operators in developing the Gannan navel orange industry, positioning it as a key driver for rural revitalization [10][11].