Workflow
商用业务
icon
Search documents
极米科技(688696):家投内销格局向好,海外、车载和商用打开增长空间
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-11-11 06:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.33 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.0%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 80 million yuan, up 297.5% [1] - The domestic sales landscape is improving, with the company leading the market through product innovation and cost advantages, achieving a market share of 28.9% in sales and 16.0% in volume for its main product line [2] - The overseas business is showing significant improvement, particularly in online channels, with revenue from Amazon Spain increasing by 111% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [2] - The company is expected to launch commercial projection products, targeting a market dominated by Japanese brands, leveraging its technology and cost advantages from the home appliance sector [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's gross margin was 30.6%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was -1.3%, improving by 5.2 percentage points [3] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 260 million, 510 million, and 650 million yuan respectively [3] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 30.55, 15.60, and 12.20 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] Market Dynamics - The smart projection industry in Q3 2025 faced temporary pressure due to national subsidies, with a year-on-year decline in retail sales of 10.6% [2] - The competitive landscape in the domestic projection industry is improving, with the market share of leading brands recovering to 60.7% in sales and 35.9% in volume [2] - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual recovery of overall business growth due to improvements in its overseas team and market strategies [2]
极米科技(688696):新业务培育期盈利能力承压,期待Q4迎来业绩拐点
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-06 08:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is in a new business cultivation period with profitability under pressure, but an inflection point in performance is expected in Q4 [5] - The main business of home projection is operating steadily, with improvements in domestic sales and a potential recovery in overseas sales [6] - New business segments such as automotive and commercial are progressing steadily, with expectations for a reduction in losses in Q4 [6] - The gross profit margin has improved significantly year-on-year, and the expense ratio continues to optimize [6] - The company is projected to experience substantial growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with expected net profits of 258 million, 509 million, and 651 million yuan respectively [5][6] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is forecasted at 3,557 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 15.77%, followed by a recovery in 2024 with a forecast of 3,405 million yuan [5] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 30.6%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 4.08% in 2024 to 15.97% in 2027 [5][7] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 67.98 in 2024 to 12.55 in 2027, indicating improved valuation over time [5][7]