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【金工】市场动量效应占优,机构调研策略超额收益明显——量化组合跟踪周报20250719(祁嫣然/张威)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-19 13:43
Core Viewpoint - The article provides an analysis of market performance, highlighting the positive and negative returns of various factors and sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities and trends in the market [2][3][5]. Factor Performance - In the large factor performance, beta, momentum, and residual volatility factors achieved positive returns of 1.10%, 0.54%, and 0.36% respectively, while liquidity and linear size factors showed significant negative returns of -0.65% and -0.40% [2]. - In the CSI 300 stock pool, the best-performing factors included quarterly ROA (3.19%), quarterly ROE (2.87%), and total asset growth rate (2.85%), while the worst-performing factors were EPTTM quantile (-0.89%), downside volatility ratio (-1.00%), and TTM P/E inverse (-1.49%) [3]. - In the CSI 500 stock pool, the top factors were momentum spring factor (1.52%), post-morning return factor (1.36%), and ROIC enhancement factor (1.18%), with the worst being the correlation of intraday volatility and trading volume (-1.10%), 5-day average turnover rate (-1.15%), and downside volatility ratio (-1.94%) [3]. - In the liquidity 1500 stock pool, the best factors were post-morning return factor (2.04%), standardized expected external profit (1.95%), and ROA stability (1.62%), while the worst were logarithmic market value factor (-0.90%), downside volatility ratio (-1.15%), and P/B ratio factor (-1.35%) [3]. Industry Factor Performance - The net asset growth rate factor showed significant positive returns in the communication industry, while the net profit growth rate factor performed well in the textile and clothing, and communication industries [5]. - The earnings per share factor performed well in the communication and computer industries, and the operating profit TTM factor showed significant positive returns in the communication, comprehensive, and non-bank financial industries [5]. - The 5-day momentum factor exhibited strong momentum effects in the oil and petrochemical, and comprehensive industries, while reversal effects were notable in the steel and coal industries [5]. - The BP factor performed well in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industries, while the EP factor showed strong performance in non-bank financial, communication, and commercial trade industries [5]. Combination Tracking - The PB-ROE-50 combination achieved significant excess returns in the CSI 800 stock pool, with an excess return of 1.46% [6]. - The public fund research selection strategy and private fund research tracking strategy both gained positive excess returns, with the public fund strategy achieving 3.33% excess return relative to the CSI 800 [7]. - The block trading combination gained excess returns relative to the CSI All Index, achieving 0.80% excess return [8]. - The targeted issuance combination also gained excess returns relative to the CSI All Index, achieving 0.91% excess return [9].