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东吴证券:10月人身险公司保费再降 看好寿险开门红表现
智通财经网· 2025-12-01 08:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates a decline in the premium scale of life insurance companies in October, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.6%, attributed to a shift in focus towards preparations for the 2026 "opening red" campaign [1][2] - For the period from January to October 2025, the original premium of life insurance reached 42,519 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, while the total premium was 48,010 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year [1] - The report highlights that the market demand remains strong, with the expected growth in new single premiums due to the attractiveness of insurance products compared to bank deposits [2][5] Group 2 - In October, the health insurance premium showed a slight year-on-year increase of 0.5%, although the growth rate decreased by 2.8 percentage points compared to September [3] - The health insurance sector's share reached 21% by the end of October, up 0.4 percentage points from the end of September, indicating a positive trend in the market [3] - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission's recent guidelines are expected to stimulate growth in the health insurance market by supporting various product developments [3] Group 3 - The property insurance sector experienced a year-on-year decline of 5.5% in October, with both auto and non-auto insurance premiums decreasing [4] - The auto insurance premium growth turned negative in October, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.6%, influenced by a high base from the previous year [4] - Non-auto insurance premiums also saw a decline, with a year-on-year drop of 3.4% in October, reflecting pressures from regulatory changes and market conditions [4] Group 4 - The report notes improvements in both the liability and asset sides of the insurance companies, with significant upward potential in valuations [5] - The anticipated optimization of liability costs due to a shift in product offerings and a potential recovery in long-term interest rates could alleviate pressure on investment returns [5] - The insurance sector is currently undervalued, with estimated valuations for 2025 ranging from 0.55 to 0.94 times PEV and 1.07 to 2.00 times PB, indicating a historical low [5]