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通信行业周观点:光纤价格企稳回暖,甲骨文获TikTok独家云合作-20251224
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-24 02:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the communication industry [10]. Core Insights - The communication sector experienced a decline of 0.53% in the 51st week of 2025, ranking 27th among primary industries in the Yangtze River region. However, since the beginning of 2025, the sector has risen by 79.59%, ranking first among primary industries [2][5]. - The domestic fiber optic cable market is showing signs of stabilization and recovery, with the average price of G.652.D fiber optic cable increasing by 20% from the previous quarter to approximately 24 RMB per core kilometer [6]. - Oracle has secured an exclusive cloud and data security partnership with TikTok's U.S. operations, which is expected to provide a stable demand for cloud and AI computing resources [7]. - The daily usage of the Doubao large model has surpassed 50 trillion tokens, indicating significant growth in AI model applications [8]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 51st week of 2025, the communication sector's performance was down by 0.53%, but it has seen a substantial increase of 79.59% since the start of the year, leading the Yangtze River primary industries [2][5]. Fiber Optic Market - The domestic market for fiber optic cables is stabilizing, with a notable increase in demand driven by data center construction, particularly for multimode fibers, which are expected to contribute to structural profit growth in the industry [6]. Cloud Computing and AI - Oracle's partnership with TikTok is set to secure long-term cloud and AI computing orders, enhancing Oracle's position in the market [7]. - The Doubao large model's daily token usage has reached over 50 trillion, showcasing the rapid growth of AI applications in the domestic market [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies across different segments, including: - Telecom Operators: China Mobile, China Telecom, China Unicom - Optical Modules: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication - Liquid Cooling: Yingweike - AI Applications: Boshi Jie, Heertai, Tuobang Co., Yiyuan Communication [9].