Group 1 - Main international long-term funds have returned to Chinese stocks, with participation in Hong Kong IPOs rising from 10%-15% during low periods to 85%-90% recently [2][4] - Approximately 50-60% of the overseas funds that withdrew between 2022 and 2024 have returned, indicating a strong recovery of mainstream long-term international investors [4][5] - The Hong Kong IPO and refinancing market is expected to remain highly active in 2026, with a significant increase in the number of independent IPO projects [2][6] Group 2 - The total refinancing scale in Hong Kong for 2025 is projected to reach HKD 326.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 278.15% [6][8] - The market structure is anticipated to change, with the proportion of "A+H" listings expected to decline, leading to an increase in independent IPOs [2][7] - The upcoming lock-up expiration for large companies in March and September 2026 is expected to be a significant event, but it is not necessarily linked to market declines [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong IPO market is expected to maintain strong momentum in 2026, with a projected fundraising amount exceeding 300 billion HKD, driven by technology and A to H listings [12][18]. Group 1: IPO Market Overview - In 2025, Hong Kong's IPO market raised a total of 285.8 billion HKD, reclaiming the top position globally [12]. - As of the end of 2025, there were 316 companies waiting to go public, marking a peak in listing applications [14]. - The IPO market is characterized by a significant presence of leading companies across various sectors, including technology, biomedicine, and renewable energy [16]. Group 2: Key Drivers for 2026 - The IPO market in 2026 is expected to be supported by four main drivers: high-performing biotech companies, leading tech firms in AI and renewable energy, traditional industries undergoing transformation, and new consumer brands seeking international expansion [15][17]. - The influx of international long-term capital into the Hong Kong market is anticipated, favoring Chinese leading companies with strong growth and profitability [17]. Group 3: Predictions for 2026 - Multiple institutions predict that around 150 to 160 companies will successfully list in Hong Kong in 2026, with total fundraising estimates ranging from 320 billion to 350 billion HKD [18]. - The IPO landscape is expected to exhibit a "two ends large, middle differentiation" characteristic, where large projects and industry leaders attract stable long-term funding, while smaller projects may face greater valuation disparities [18]. Group 4: A to H Listings - A to H listings are expected to remain a significant component of the Hong Kong IPO market, providing more certainty for international investors due to their established business records and solid information disclosure [19]. - The demand for high-quality A to H assets reflects the market's interest in sectors such as technology, AI, biomedicine, and global consumer and manufacturing enterprises [19].

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, Hong Kong's IPO market regained its position as the world's leader with a total fundraising amount of HKD 285.8 billion, and this momentum is expected to strengthen in 2026 with a focus on technology and A to H listings [1][2]. Group 1: IPO Market Overview - As of the end of 2025, there are over 300 companies waiting to go public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a notable increase in IPO applications at the end of 2025 and the beginning of 2026 [2][4]. - The IPO market in 2026 is projected to continue its strong performance, with fundraising expected to exceed HKD 300 billion [1][5]. Group 2: Key Drivers of IPO Growth - The two main themes driving the 2026 IPO market are technology and A to H listings, with many leading companies from various sectors, including pet healthcare and semiconductor industries, among those waiting to list [2][3]. - Four key factors supporting the IPO market in 2026 include the return of international long-term capital to Hong Kong, the transformation of the Chinese economy creating quality listing resources, strong support from mainland policies for companies to list in Hong Kong, and the optimization of listing policies in Hong Kong [3][5]. Group 3: Predictions for 2026 - Multiple institutions predict that the total fundraising for Hong Kong IPOs in 2026 will be optimistic, with estimates ranging from HKD 320 billion to HKD 350 billion, and a significant number of companies expected to raise over HKD 50 billion each [5][6]. - The IPO landscape in 2026 is likely to exhibit a "two ends large, middle differentiation" characteristic, where large projects and industry leaders attract long-term funding, while smaller projects depend more on market conditions and performance [6].