国泰海通晨报 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 1、【纺织服装研究】亚玛芬体育：公司 25Q3 收入/op margin 均超指引，所有地区加速增长，持 续看好中长期成长性。 2、【生物医药研究】老百姓：行业整体仍有所承压，公司积极加强门店聚焦于下沉策略，看好环 比向好趋势。 [汤蔚翔 Table_Authors] (分析师) 电话：021-38676172 邮箱：tangweixiang@gtht.com 登记编号：S0880511010007 [Table_ImportantInfo] 今日重点推荐 盛开(分析师) 021-23154510 shengkai@gtht.com S0880525040044 钟启辉(研究助理) 021-23185686 zhongqihui@gtht.com S0880125042254 本次评级：增持 现价：34.76 元 海外报告：亚玛芬体育(AS.N)《25Q3 业绩超指引，所有地区实 现加速增长》2025-11-20 2025 年 11 月 21 日 投资建议：考虑到公司 Q3 表现优异，我们上调公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润 ...

大模型行业正站在一个拐点。 过去数年间由技术突破点燃的狂热，正在2025年遭遇一场商业化大考。随着智谱等头部独角兽相继启动IPO（首次公开募股）流程，市场叙事正从模型能力 的"军备竞赛"转向落地应用的审视。 资本市场开始用更严苛的尺度，检验大模型企业是否具备可持续的商业模式和长期价值。这一冲突，在开源与闭源的路线之争上尤为激烈。 在行业普遍认知中，开源意味着共享，商业化则意味着独占。作为中国大模型赛道的关键玩家，智谱却始终坚持一个反直觉的判断：开源与商业化长远来看 并不冲突。这一判断的底层逻辑是什么？在技术摸高与应用落地之间，企业应如何平衡资源？AI（人工智能）的"性价比"竞争是否已经到来？ 带着这些问题，11月17日，《每日经济新闻》记者（以下简称"NBD"）与智谱董事长刘德兵进行了一场深度对话。在他看来，基础模型的进步对应用落地有 巨大的促进作用，但技术摸高绝不能做"空的、虚的"东西，必须能转化成商业优势。 智谱董事长刘德兵 图片来源：企业供图 谈模型：大参数模型是技术锚点 NBD：行业普遍认为开源和商业化存在冲突，但你判断两者并不冲突。这个判断的逻辑是什么？ 刘德兵：如果只看短期利益，比如现在闭源能直接 ...

Core Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technological self-reliance and innovation as a core strategy, indicating a shift towards original technological innovation and integration with the real economy [1][4] - Key investment areas for the next five years include artificial intelligence, biomedicine, quantum technology, and high-end manufacturing, which are expected to receive policy support [1][4] Policy Direction Comparison - The "14th Five-Year Plan" focused on a comprehensive approach to economic construction, while the "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes economic construction as the central theme [1] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for significant improvements in technological self-reliance and a modern industrial system that includes aerospace and transportation [1][3] - The approach to external openness has shifted from global economic governance to multilateral trade and autonomous openness [1][3] Market Structure and Investment Opportunities - Historical analysis shows that A-share market structure changes are closely linked to policy directions, with strategic industries identified in each plan becoming focal points for investment [3] - The current market is expected to focus on new quality productivity, with significant opportunities in AI and manufacturing sectors due to China's competitive advantages [3][4] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" highlights the importance of consumption and proposes policies to boost consumer spending, indicating potential for value reassessment in the consumer sector [5] Sector-Specific Insights - Key sectors expected to thrive include AI, digital economy, and green energy technologies, with specific opportunities in domestic supply chains for advanced chips and energy storage [4][5] - The automotive sector is poised for growth, particularly in intelligent vehicles, as consumer preferences shift towards high-quality products [5] - Investment strategies should focus on core AI-related stocks while being cautious of market volatility, suggesting a balanced approach to capital allocation [6]

Semiconductor Sector Dynamics - TI's low-power Bluetooth® 6.0 wireless MCU has received Bluetooth SIG certification, marking it as the industry's first automotive-grade product series to achieve this milestone[5] - Jiangbolong has launched the industry's first integrated packaging mSSD, enhancing SSD application flexibility and user experience[7] - United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) has introduced a 55nm BCD platform aimed at improving power efficiency and system integration for next-generation mobile devices and automotive applications[11] Automotive Electronics Sector Dynamics - LoBot has partnered with Swiss PostBus to launch the autonomous driving service "AmiGo" in Switzerland, with initial fleet testing planned for December 2025[14] - Pony.ai and BAIC New Energy have rolled out the 300th unit of the Alpha T5 Robotaxi, showcasing significant advancements in autonomous driving technology[16] - General Motors plans to introduce a "hands-free" autonomous driving system in the Cadillac Escalade IQ by 2028, utilizing a multi-sensor approach for enhanced safety[19] AI Sector Dynamics - Baichuan has released the M2 Plus medical model, significantly reducing the hallucination rate compared to general models, achieving a credibility level comparable to experienced clinicians[21] - RoboSense and ASENSING have formed a strategic partnership to develop multi-modal sensor fusion solutions for robotics, enhancing performance in complex environments[24] - Shengshu Technology has announced the open access of the Vidu Q2 API, enabling high-quality video content creation with emotional expressiveness for advertising and e-commerce[28] Metaverse Sector Dynamics - Samsung has officially launched the Galaxy XR headset, optimized for multi-modal AI, marking a significant step in its XR strategy[32] - Amazon is developing AI smart glasses for delivery drivers to enhance route planning and risk identification, improving service quality[35] - Unity has announced full support for Android XR development in Unity 6, facilitating the creation of immersive applications for the Galaxy XR headset[37] Risk Warnings - There are risks related to market competition in semiconductor, automotive electronics, AI, and metaverse sectors due to rapid growth and increased investment[38] - Potential technological advancements may not meet expectations, impacting overall sector development[39] - Market demand growth may fall short of expectations, affecting the expansion of emerging sectors[40]

Group 1: Private Equity and Investment Trends - The average position of domestic stock private equity has risen to 79.68%, marking a nearly one-year high, with a 0.55 percentage point increase from the previous week [1] - Since August, the average position has increased by 5.75 percentage points, indicating a significant trend towards increasing positions [1] - As of October 17, 63.40% of stock private equity firms are in heavy or full positions (over 80%), while only less than 20% are in low or empty positions [1] Group 2: Company Financing and Management Changes - Moonshot AI is reportedly completing a new financing round amounting to several hundred million dollars, following a previous round of approximately $300 million in August 2024 [1] - Zhao Changjiang, general manager of Tengshi Fangchengbao, has confirmed his departure from BYD, stating he will take a break [1] - Huatai Asset Management's chairman, Cui Chun, has resigned, with general manager Jiang Xiaoyang taking over the role [1] Group 3: Corporate Responses to Consumer Issues - OPPO has announced a free screen replacement service for devices with a green line issue within four years of purchase, and a discounted replacement policy for devices older than four years [2] - Xiaomi has reduced the price of its K90 model by 300 yuan, and customers who purchased the phone before the price drop can apply for a price difference refund [2] Group 4: Financial Performance Reports - Southern Media reported a 60.73% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters, despite a 3.01% decline in revenue [7] - Zhongchuan Special Gas achieved a 14.9% increase in revenue and a 3.98% increase in net profit year-on-year for the first three quarters [8] - Taihe Intelligent reported a 46.28% increase in net profit year-on-year for the first three quarters, despite a slight decline in revenue [8] - Wanliyang's net profit increased by 32.58% year-on-year for the first three quarters, although revenue decreased by 2.14% [9] - Xiamen Tungsten's net profit grew by 27.05% year-on-year for the first three quarters, with a significant increase in third-quarter profit [10] - Xinjiang Torch reported a 20.49% increase in net profit year-on-year for the first three quarters [12] - Kailong Co. saw a 20.64% increase in net profit year-on-year for the first three quarters, despite a slight revenue decline [13] - Dianguang Media reported a remarkable 116.61% increase in net profit year-on-year for the first three quarters [14] - Zinc Industry Co. experienced a staggering 1110.26% increase in net profit year-on-year for the first three quarters, despite a net loss in the third quarter [15] Group 5: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.71%, reaching a new high for the year, with significant gains in the computing power and semiconductor sectors [16] - The market saw a total trading volume of 1.97 trillion yuan, an increase of 330.3 billion yuan from the previous trading day [16] - Notable gains were observed in storage chip stocks and commercial aerospace sectors, while coal stocks experienced a collective decline [16]

Quantum Communication - China Telecom's quantum research team achieved a significant breakthrough in optical communication, successfully conducting a real-world experiment of over 80 kilometers for classical optical signals and quantum key distribution (DV-QKD) with a transmission rate exceeding 10 Tbps, setting a global record for fiber distance [1] - Quantum communication offers unbreakable security based on quantum mechanics principles, utilizing phenomena like quantum entanglement and superposition, making it superior to traditional communication methods [1] Analog Chips - A research team from Peking University developed a high-precision, scalable analog matrix computing chip based on resistive memory, achieving 24-bit fixed-point precision and significantly surpassing existing top GPUs in terms of throughput and energy efficiency, potentially by 100 to 1000 times [2] AI Models - ByteDance's Seed team launched the 3D generative model Seed3D1.0, capable of generating high-quality simulation-level 3D models from a single image, addressing current limitations in physical interaction capabilities and content diversity [3] - Continuous iterations of AI models are observed both domestically and internationally, with advancements expected to lower content creation barriers and reshape application workflows [3] AI Glasses - Alibaba's first self-developed AI glasses, Quark AI glasses, are available for pre-sale at prices of 3699 yuan for VIP members and 3999 yuan for regular consumers, featuring dual flagship chips and various smart functionalities [4] - The AI glasses market is projected to grow significantly, with a forecasted 188% increase in sales by 2025, driven by ecosystem collaboration, technological iterations, and cost optimization [4] Animation and Drama - The animation drama market has seen over 3000 new works launched in the past six months, with revenue scaling up by 12 times, and is expected to exceed 20 billion yuan by 2025 [5] - AI is enhancing production efficiency in animation dramas, with costs per minute reduced from 2000-5000 yuan to 1000-2500 yuan, and AI involvement in various production stages improving efficiency by 50-80% [5] Macroeconomic and Industry News - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasized stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations to support economic recovery, alongside measures to boost consumption and manage local government debt risks [6] - The Ministry of Commerce announced that a Chinese delegation will engage in economic and trade consultations with the U.S. from October 24 to 27 [6] - China currently operates 59 nuclear power units with a total capacity of 62.48 million kilowatts, maintaining the world's largest nuclear power scale [6] Semiconductor Market - Major memory suppliers like Samsung and SK Hynix are expected to raise DRAM and NAND flash prices by up to 30% in Q4, indicating a potential "super cycle" driven by artificial intelligence [7]

Economic Growth and Development - China's GDP growth for the first three quarters of this year is 5.2%, building on an average growth rate of 5.5% over the past four years, with projections indicating that the economy could reach approximately 140 trillion yuan by 2025 [1][2] - The new development philosophy proposed by Xi Jinping has guided China's economic transformation, emphasizing innovation, coordination, green development, openness, and sharing [3][5] New Energy Vehicles Industry - In November 2024, China will become the first country to produce over 10 million new energy vehicles annually, marking a significant milestone in the global automotive industry [4] - The adoption of advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence and digital twins in the production process has led to a reduction in production preparation time by at least 20%, a decrease in design costs by over 15%, and an improvement in product quality by over 10% [4] - China's new energy vehicle industry has maintained its position as the world's largest for ten consecutive years, with lithium-ion batteries holding the top international market share [4][5] Rural Development and Integration - The "Million Project" in Zhejiang has successfully promoted urban-rural integration, enhancing the modernization of rural production and living standards [8][10] - The implementation of the "Hundred-Thousand-Ten Thousand Project" in Guangdong aims to address regional disparities and improve rural economic conditions, resulting in significant increases in rural residents' disposable income [9][10] Open Market and Global Trade - The opening of the sixth-generation global trade center in Yiwu represents a shift from traditional trade to a digital trade ecosystem, enhancing China's role in global commerce [13] - China has established itself as a major trading partner for over 150 countries, maintaining the world's largest total trade volume for several consecutive years [14] Future Development Strategy - The upcoming "Fifteen Five" plan aims to provide strategic guidance for China's development over the next five years, focusing on high-quality growth and the implementation of the new development philosophy [15][16]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to stimulate innovation among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) by encouraging their deep participation in the industrial and supply chains, enhancing their supporting capabilities [1][3] - In the first eight months of this year, the added value of industrial SMEs increased by 7.6% year-on-year, outpacing large enterprises by 3.3 percentage points, indicating stable overall operations and a notable surge in innovation vitality [1][2] - The proportion of independently developed effective invention patents among SMEs reached 75.3% in 2024, an increase of 3.9 percentage points from the previous year, showcasing the growing innovation capacity of SMEs [1][2] Group 2 - Specialized and innovative SMEs, referred to as "little giants," have made significant technological advancements, holding 32.74 million invention patents, which account for 11% of the total patents held by enterprises [2][4] - In the first eight months of this year, the R&D expenses of specialized and innovative "little giants" accounted for 5.4% of their operating income, reflecting their commitment to R&D investment [2][4] - The government is encouraged to create a supportive environment for innovation, including the establishment of a national SME development fund to attract more social capital for early-stage, small, and long-term investments in hard technology [2][3] Group 3 - There is a strong emphasis on supporting the digital transformation of SMEs, particularly through the adoption of new information technologies like artificial intelligence, which are reshaping innovation paradigms and production methods [3][4] - The government aims to identify and promote replicable digital transformation solutions for SMEs, addressing their challenges in transitioning to digital operations through financial support mechanisms [3][4] - Local governments are urged to play a supportive role by organizing service institutions and platforms to facilitate innovation and collaboration between large and small enterprises [3][4]

Core Insights - The article highlights the growth of the autonomous driving industry, indicating that it has evolved from a small workshop into a platform with significant technological depth and breadth, with increasing business lines and demand in the market [1] Group 1: Team Overview - The team has spent over two years developing four key IPs: embodied intelligence, autonomous driving, 3D vision, and large model technology, with a total online following of nearly 360,000 across various platforms [1] - The team operates on multiple platforms including WeChat, video accounts, Zhihu, and Bilibili, indicating a broad outreach strategy [1] Group 2: Job Opportunities - The company is currently hiring for full-time and part-time positions in operations and sales, reflecting its expansion and need for additional personnel [2] - The responsibilities for the operations role include managing course progress, enhancing platform engagement, and content creation related to the autonomous driving and AI sectors [4] - The sales role involves creating promotional content for online and hardware products and liaising with hardware manufacturers and academic institutions [5][6] Group 3: Growth and Learning Opportunities - The company offers significant growth opportunities, allowing employees to learn from top operational teams and gain insights into sales strategies [7] - Employees will have exposure to cutting-edge content in fields such as autonomous driving and AI, broadening their technical understanding and industry perspective [8] - There are also opportunities for further academic pursuits, such as pursuing graduate or doctoral studies, which can enhance personal development [9]

Group 1: Company Developments - OPPO has initiated a new imaging product series, aiming to leverage over 17 years of mobile imaging technology, with plans to launch by 2026 [1] - Under Armour has opened its first flagship outdoor store in Shanghai, expanding its presence in high-end shopping centers across 22 provinces and municipalities [1] - Xiamen Tungsten has signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Zhongwei New Materials, projecting annual supply and demand for various lithium products from 2025 to 2028 [2] - Donghua Technology's lithium carbonate project in Tibet has completed a 120-hour functional assessment, marking its readiness for official production [3] - Light Media is exploring the micro-short drama market and plans to establish a related company [4] Group 2: Financing and Investment - "Linghou Robotics" has successfully completed over 100 million yuan in Series A financing, with funds allocated for R&D and capacity expansion in industrial automation and robotics [6] - "Maike Technology" has secured Series A financing in the range of hundreds of millions, aimed at enhancing TGV process R&D and production [8] - Nine丰 Energy plans to invest up to 3.455 billion yuan in a coal-to-natural gas project in Xinjiang, with a construction period not exceeding 36 months [7] Group 3: Market Trends and Insights - Fidelity International reports a significant increase in global investor interest in Chinese assets, with hedge funds actively increasing their positions in the Chinese stock market [9] - The National Development and Reform Commission supports private enterprises' deep participation in the "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative, highlighting the role of private firms in AI application [10] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a plan for the mechanical industry to maintain steady growth, targeting an average annual revenue growth rate of around 3.5% from 2025 to 2026 [10]