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长江有色:春节前镍市供需双淡观望主导 10日镍价或涨跌不大
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 03:33
Group 1 - Nickel futures market shows a rebound driven by a weaker US dollar and improved sentiment in the US stock market, with LME nickel closing at 17,410, up 175 USD/ton, a 1.02% increase [1] - Domestic nickel futures also experienced a slight increase, with the main contract closing at 134,820 CNY/ton, up 1,210 CNY/ton, a 0.91% rise [1] - LME nickel inventory reported at 285,072 tons, a decrease of 210 tons from the previous trading day [1] Group 2 - The macroeconomic environment indicates a warming sentiment, with the overnight surge in LME nickel attributed to improved market conditions rather than fundamental changes [2] - The weakening US dollar has elevated industrial metal valuations, while a rebound in US tech stocks has increased risk appetite and attracted funds back into the non-ferrous sector [2] - Geopolitical tensions are providing support for nickel prices, with expectations of supply disruptions from key producing countries, particularly Indonesia, which plans to cut nickel mining quotas by 34% by 2026 [2] Group 3 - The nickel market is currently experiencing a dual warm macro environment, with expectations of recovery post-holiday supporting prices [2] - The demand for traditional stainless steel is weakening, while the demand for high-nickel batteries in the new energy sector remains robust, with a projected penetration rate exceeding 70% by 2026 [2] - Investment strategy suggests a cautious approach ahead of the holiday, avoiding high-risk positions while waiting for post-holiday recovery opportunities [2]