Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating Group 2: Core Viewpoints - In H1 2025, the urban investment bond market continued the 2024 policy line, with short - term debt resolution showing results, "exiting the platform" and urban investment transformation accelerating. However, in the long run, urban investment financing channels are restricted, and liquidity pressure in some regions is not fully alleviated. It is expected that implicit debt resolution, "exiting key provinces" and "exiting the platform" will accelerate, and the industrial transformation of urban investment enterprises will further speed up, but attention should be paid to the risks during the transformation process [4] - The overall supply of urban investment bonds tightened in H1 2025, with a year - on - year decline in issuance and net financing. Yields fluctuated downward, and the difference in yields among different credit - rated bonds widened. The net financing of low - level and low - rated issuers remained weak, and the financing pressure on weak - quality urban investment enterprises persisted [3][4] Group 3: Summary of Each Section I. National Urban Investment Bond Overall Issuance Overview and Characteristics in H1 and Q2 2025 - **Issuance and Net Financing**: Under the "controlling increment and resolving stock" policy, the issuance policy remained strictly regulated. In H1 2025, 4,339 urban investment bonds were issued, with a total issuance of 2.808708 trillion yuan and a net financing of - 76.36 billion yuan. The total issuance decreased by 11.55% year - on - year, and net financing decreased by 149.16% year - on - year. The net financing turned negative, and the supply tightened. Monthly issuance showed a decline in April and May and a recovery in June [3][6] - **Yield and Cost**: Yields fluctuated downward, and the difference in yields among different credit - rated bonds widened. The issuance cost decreased significantly, and the number of cancelled issuances decreased since April. High - interest urban investment bonds were mainly in regions with negative public opinions and weak economic and fiscal strength. The issuance of ultra - long - term (10 - year and above) urban investment bonds increased year - on - year, mainly in developed provincial capitals, with AAA ratings and mainly medium - term notes and private placement bonds [3][8] - **Issuer Characteristics**: The issuance and net financing of all types of issuers decreased year - on - year. Low - level and low - rated issuers had weak net financing, especially district - level urban investment enterprises whose net financing gap continued to expand. In H1 2025, the net financing of AA - rated enterprises was the weakest, and the net financing of AA+ enterprises turned negative in Q2 [3][15] - **Regional Distribution**: Jiangsu, Shandong, and Zhejiang were the top three provinces in terms of issuance amount, but the net financing of Jiangsu and Zhejiang was negative. Key provinces' debt resolution advanced steadily, with a decline in issuance and a narrowing net financing gap, showing internal differentiation. Non - key provinces' net financing turned negative [4][18][19] - **New Issuance**: New issuances were mainly in regions with economic, fiscal, or industrial advantages. Key provinces had fewer new issuances. In H1 2025, 252 new bonds were issued, with a total amount of 203.225 billion yuan, mainly by AAA and AA+ enterprises [4][23] II. Concerns in the Current Urban Investment Bond Market - **Short - term Debt Resolution and Transformation**: In H1 2025, the market continued the 2024 policy line. Short - term debt resolution was effective, and urban investment transformation accelerated. However, fiscal pressure remained, and the effects of policies needed further observation [27][28] - **Differentiated Debt Resolution Progress**: The progress of debt resolution varied across regions. The "exiting the platform" process accelerated, and the non - standard risk and bill overdue events of urban investment enterprises decreased marginally. Key provinces advanced faster in debt resolution, and non - key provinces also made progress but faced challenges in reducing high - interest debts [32][33] - **Marketization Transformation Risks**: The transformation of urban investment enterprises was accelerating, but there was a risk of "false transformation", which could lead to capital recovery risks and drag on regional development. Attention should be paid to the reconstruction of government - enterprise relations and the debt burden caused by "heavy investment, light output" [34][37]