基金业绩修复

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三年深套阴影难消,基金业绩回暖难阻“解套即赎”
第一财经· 2025-08-08 06:09
Core Viewpoint - The recent recovery in the equity market has led to a significant rebound in the net value of actively managed equity funds, with nearly 90% of these funds showing positive returns over the past year, providing hope for investors who had previously suffered losses [3][5]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of August 6, 2023, 4304 out of 4349 actively managed equity funds reported positive returns over the past year, representing 99% of the total [5]. - Among these, 40 funds achieved a doubling of their performance, with the top performer, CITIC Construction Investment North Exchange Select Two-Year Open A, showing a return of 212.25% [5]. - Over 70% of funds with over 10 billion in assets achieved returns exceeding 10%, with some funds like China Merchants Advantage Enterprises A and Galaxy Innovation Growth A exceeding 60% [6]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - Investor behavior has shown significant divergence, with three main strategies emerging: some investors choose to redeem their funds upon recovery, others redeem after a significant reduction in losses, and a third group waits until they fully recover their investments [9][10]. - Despite the recovery, there is a notable redemption pressure as many investors opt to cash out when the net asset value approaches their initial investment [10]. - In the second quarter, actively managed equity funds experienced a net redemption of 1,076.04 million units, a 56.43% increase from the previous quarter, indicating a trend of investors withdrawing funds despite improved performance [10][11]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Trust - The recovery in fund performance has not yet translated into increased investor trust, as many investors remain cautious due to past losses from 2022 to 2024, leading to a prevalent "redeem upon recovery" behavior [11]. - Analysts suggest that the current situation represents a critical period for "cognitive repair" in the market, where fund managers need to enhance their professional capabilities and improve the industry ecosystem to regain investor confidence [11].