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10月进出口数据解读:假期和高基数因素或是出口下滑主因
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-11-07 08:41
Export Performance - October exports decreased by 1.1% year-on-year, significantly impacted by holiday effects and high base comparisons[1] - Major trading partners showed a mixed performance, with external demand experiencing a phase adjustment[1] - The PMI for October was reported at 50.8%, indicating a slight contraction in manufacturing activity[1] Import Trends - October imports were valued at 215.3 billion, reflecting a 1% increase year-on-year[1] - The overall import growth rate was 7.4%, indicating a stable demand for foreign goods[1] Regional Trade Dynamics - Exports to ASEAN, Hong Kong, and Africa remained strong, while exports to the US saw a reduced decline of 11%[1] - The export growth to ASEAN was reported at 18.2%, while exports to Africa increased by 25.3%[1] Automotive Sector Insights - The export growth rate for automobiles improved significantly, with a notable increase of 32.7% in October[2] - The automotive sector is expected to continue driving export resilience moving forward[2] Future Outlook - Export growth is projected to maintain a strong resilience, with annual growth expected at 4.4% for 2024[2] - Quarterly export growth rates are anticipated to be approximately 5.3%, 2.6%, 3.9%, and 5.6% respectively[2]