2月国内车市销量出现短期波动，而车企出口持续高增与新能源渗透率稳步提升的向好趋势并未改变。 在自主车企中，上汽集团以26.9万辆的交付量领跑全行业。其中，出口及海外基地销量达到9.9万辆，同比增长 46.12%，成为对冲国内市场波动、稳固业绩的重要支撑。 | 5家自主车企2026年2月销量(辆) | | 0 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 同比增幅 | 环比增幅 | 1-2月 累计销量 | 累计同比 | | 上汽集团 | | 269465 | -8.64% | -17.70% | 596878 | 6.76% | | 吉利汽车集团 | | 206160 | 1% | -23.69% | 476327 | 0.99% | | 比亚迪 | | 190190 | -41.09% -9.46% | | 400241 | -35.80% | | 奇瑞集团 | *********** | 160765 | | -11.15% -19.73% | 361034 | -10.91% | | 文明治理 | | 72594 | -6.79 ...

2月国内车市销量出现短期波动，而车企出口持续高增与新能源渗透率稳步提升的向好趋势并未改变。 在自主车企中，上汽集团（600104）以26.9万辆的交付量领跑全行业。其中，出口及海外基地销量达到9.9万辆， 同比增长46.12%，成为对冲国内市场波动、稳固业绩的重要支撑。 海外出口同样成为其他自主车企2月销量的最大亮点。奇瑞集团2月销量16.1万辆，其中出口12.49万辆，同比增长 41.5%，连续10个月单月出口突破10万辆。比亚迪（002594）2月海外销量同样迈过10万辆门槛，首次实现单月海 外销量反超国内。吉利汽车则以6.09万辆的海外出口销量和138%的同比增幅，成为上述4家车企中增幅最大的一 家。 新势力车企整体呈现"环比普降"态势，2月份零跑、理想、极氪、蔚来、小米5家销量规模在2万辆左右，小鹏汽车 销量1.5万辆。 总体来看，2月车市的"阶段性承压"更像是节假日与消费等待窗口共振下的短期波动，而非趋势性转弱。在这 场"压力测试"中，头部企业守住了基本盘，出口与新能源的双轮驱动逻辑依然坚挺。新势力的竞争格局演变为多 强并立、交替领先的"混战"局面。 随着后续政策红利持续释放与新一轮新车型周期的到来 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 吉利汽车（00175.HK）2 月销量点评 强推（维持） 1+2 月出口表现强劲 事项： 吉利汽车发布 2 月销量，公司实现销量 20.6 万辆，同比+0.6%，环比-23.7%。 其中银河品牌销量 7.3 万辆，同比-3.9%，环比-11.9%；领克品牌 2.7 万辆，同 比+59%，环比-5.3%；极氪 2.4 万辆，同比+70%，环比+0.1%。其中，内销 14.5 万辆，同比-19%，环比-31%；出口 6.1 万辆，同比+1.4 倍、环比+0.6%。 评论： [主要财务指标 Indicator_FinchinaSimpleHK] | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 241,099 | 348,925 | 428,959 | 479,364 | | 同比增速(%) | 33.5% | 44.7% | 22.9% | 11.8% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 16,632 | 17,402 | 25,046 | 27,813 | | 同比增速(%) ...

本报讯 （张文婧 刘伟） 2月26日，滨海港汽车堆场，一辆辆汽车有序通过甲板驶入韩国籍滚装船"格罗 冠军"轮货舱。"这场与时间赛跑的'汽车装载战'，昨天下午就已经打响。"滨海港工作人员告诉记者， 自"格罗冠军"轮靠泊那一刻起，港区便进入连轴转的作业模式，工作人员按照既定计划，历时约15小时 圆满完成装车任务。 下午3时许，随着一声汽笛长鸣，"格罗冠军"轮在海巡船的护航和调度人员的精确指引下，驶出北区通 用码头1号泊位。随后，这艘装载着2799辆崭新"盐城造"悦达起亚汽车的滚装船正式启航，驶向滨海港 新开辟的航线——韩国光阳港。至此，滨海港已开辟2条中东、4条韩国滚装船航线。 大规模、高密度的集中发运，考验着一个港口的综合服务能力和供应链企业的统筹调度水平。"春节期 间，港口一线作业人员与江苏苏飞亚供应链管理有限公司的员工一起，主动放弃休假，守在整车出口的 最前沿。"江苏盐城港滨海港投资开发有限公司董事长杨斌透露，为抢抓外贸先机，全力保障商品发 运，本次出口的汽车分别于2月13日至14日、2月20日至21日在滨海港集结，两批次共计2799辆，总货值 超4亿元。 （来源：新华日报） 针对汽车出口数量多、时效要求高 ...

2月11日，中国汽车工业协会发布2026年1月汽车产销数据及经济运行情况。作为"十五五"开局之年的首 份成绩单，1月车市呈现出鲜明的内外冷热不均：乘用车市场环比、同比双双下降，新能源汽车国内销 量罕见出现近两成同比下滑，但与此同时，商用车延续复苏态势，汽车出口总量同比增长44.9%，其中 新能源汽车出口同比倍增，成为开年车市最大亮点。 外国品牌阵营中，与去年12月相比，五大主要品牌销量均呈两位数下降；与去年同期相比，仅美系品牌 实现两位数增长，德系、日系、韩系、法系品牌均呈不同程度下降。 中国汽车工业协会陈士华在发布会上表示，1月市场下行主要受三方面因素影响：一是新能源汽车购置 税政策切换调整；二是多地购车补贴政策处于年度交替窗口期；三是部分消费需求已在2025年提前释 放。他认为，2026年开年首月，国家已密集推出一系列惠民惠企政策，其中"两新"政策平稳有序衔接， 各地正在陆续跟进发布实施细则；《加快培育服务消费新增长点工作方案》聚焦汽车后市场服务等重点 领域。随着相关政策的细化落实，有助于推动车市需求企稳回升。"'十五五'时期是我国汽车产业向高 质量转型的关键窗口期，需要行业在保持市场稳健运行的同时，着力 ...

方正证券发布研报称，1月受季节性淡季及前期政策抢装透支影响，车市短期承压，但伴随各地置换补 贴政策逐步落地，终端需求有望加速修复。出口延续强劲表现，助力平滑行业波动。预计2026年我国汽 车出口将达634万辆，同比增长约13%，占产量比重有望突破20%。 智通财经APP获悉，汽车股今日普涨，截至发稿，赛力斯(09927)涨4.87%，报96.85港元；比亚迪股份 (01211)涨4.56%，报99.8港元；小鹏汽车-W(09868)涨3.83%，报70.45港元；理想汽车-W(02015)涨 3.57%，报72.6港元。 消息面上，当地时间2月20日，美国最高法院裁定特朗普政府大规模关税政策违法。特朗普先是宣布在 常规关税基础上对全球商品加征10%关税，后又表示原本10%的全球进口关税税率将升至15%。此外， 乘联分会秘书长崔东树表示，中国汽车海外产销体系完成向"产业出海"的关键转型。 ...

南非汽车商业委员会17日发布报告显示，尽管美国加征关税对南非汽车业造成影响，但南非汽车出口在 2025年仍实现增长，出口量创历史新高。南非汽车商业委员会在其最新季度汽车制造业商业状况回顾报 告中说，南非2025年共对全球109个国家和地区出口创纪录的41.43万辆汽车，较2024年增长5.9%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the robust performance of the Guangzhou International Port and Nansha Port during the Chinese New Year, showcasing significant export activities, particularly in the manufacturing and automotive sectors. Group 1: Guangzhou International Port - The X8432 China-Europe freight train, loaded with "Greater Bay Area manufacturing" goods, departed from Guangzhou International Port, carrying electric bicycles, home appliances, and kitchenware to Europe [1] - During the Spring Festival holiday, the port plans to dispatch 4 China-Europe freight trains, totaling approximately 430 standard containers with a value of about 109 million RMB [1] - The average frequency of the China-Europe freight trains from Guangzhou International Port is maintained at 6 trains per week, primarily exporting home appliances and cross-border e-commerce products to meet overseas market demand [1] Group 2: Nansha Port - The first roll-on/roll-off export ship, "Tanghong," set sail from Nansha Port, carrying 3,370 domestic vehicles, marking the beginning of the new year’s automotive export season [1] - Nansha Port is the largest automotive roll-on/roll-off terminal cluster in South China, with a capacity exceeding 3 million vehicles annually [1] - During the Spring Festival holiday, it is expected that 5 roll-on/roll-off ships will depart from Nansha, continuing the strong growth trend observed in the previous year [1] Group 3: Customs and Regulatory Support - Customs operates 24-hour appointment clearance during the Spring Festival to ensure uninterrupted business operations, facilitating quick inspections for export vehicles [2] - Nansha Port has established 10 foreign trade routes, attracting over 10 brands, including GAC, and exporting various vehicle types to more than 20 countries and regions [2] - In January 2026, Nansha Customs supervised the export of 45,000 roll-on/roll-off vehicles, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 61% [2]

Group 1 - In January, China's automobile exports reached 681,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 44.9% but a month-on-month decrease of 9.5% [3][4] - The export market is expected to be a significant growth point due to the transition of new energy vehicle purchase tax policies and the annual alternation of local purchase subsidy policies [7] Group 2 - Ford's global sales for 2025 are projected to be 4.395 million units, with total revenue of $187.3 billion and a profit of $6.8 billion [8][9] - Ford has achieved annual revenue growth for five consecutive years, with a strong balance sheet showing nearly $29 billion in cash and $50 billion in liquidity [11] - Despite impressive revenue, Ford's profit margins are under pressure due to increasing market competition, although Ford China has reported nine consecutive quarters of profitability [13]

Core Insights - The overall retail sales of passenger cars in January decreased by 13.9% year-on-year, with a total of 1.544 million units sold. The retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 596,000 units, representing a penetration rate of 38.6%, down 3 percentage points from the previous year [1][11]. Retail Market Overview - In January, the retail sales of self-owned fuel passenger cars were 250,000 units, up 17% year-on-year, while self-owned NEVs sold 226,000 units, marking a significant increase of 115%. NEVs accounted for 47.5% of self-owned exports, indicating growing international influence [2]. - The retail sales of self-owned brands totaled 890,000 units, down 18% year-on-year, with a domestic market share of 57.5%, a decrease of 3.5 percentage points [2]. - Mainstream joint venture brands sold 470,000 units, down 4% year-on-year, with German brands increasing their market share to 19.8%, up 1.4 percentage points [2]. Production and Wholesale Analysis - In January, the production of passenger cars was 2.003 million units, down 4.4% year-on-year. The wholesale volume was 1.973 million units, a decrease of 6.2% year-on-year [4]. - The wholesale of self-owned brands was 1.326 million units, down 8%, while luxury car wholesale increased by 4% to 228,000 units [4]. - The overall wholesale landscape is changing, with some mid-tier companies showing strong performance, such as SAIC-GM-Wuling and NIO [4]. New Energy Vehicle Insights - The production of NEVs reached 938,000 units, a slight decrease of 0.6% year-on-year, while wholesale sales were 864,000 units, down 3.3% [5][6]. - NEV retail sales were 596,000 units, down 20% year-on-year, with conventional fuel vehicles selling 948,000 units, down 10% [7]. - NEV exports reached 286,000 units, a remarkable increase of 103.6%, accounting for 49.6% of total passenger car exports [11][12]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - The new energy vehicle market is expected to face challenges in February due to the impact of the Spring Festival, which may lead to lower sales volumes [16]. - The transition from merely selling cars to exporting entire industrial chains is anticipated, indicating a shift towards quality growth in the automotive export sector [17].