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专访复旦大学吴心伯:特朗普政府“百日大考”不及格,或加速美国霸权衰落
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-02 00:22
Group 1 - The article discusses the low approval rating of President Trump's administration, which stands at 39%, marking the lowest in 80 years for a president's first 100 days in office [1][6][7] - The article highlights that Trump's domestic policies, particularly the "reciprocal tariffs," have led to significant economic and social issues, causing dissatisfaction among the public and businesses [2][7] - Trump's foreign policy is criticized for oversimplifying international conflicts and failing to deliver on promises, such as resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict within 24 hours [2][8] Group 2 - The article notes that Trump's administration has withdrawn from several international agreements, including the Paris Agreement and the World Health Organization, which may weaken the U.S.'s global leadership [10][11] - The article suggests that the U.S. is experiencing a strategic contraction in its foreign policy, focusing more on domestic issues and reducing its involvement in multilateral systems [3][11] - The article indicates that the relationship between the U.S. and Europe is deteriorating, with European nations seeking greater strategic autonomy in security matters [12][13] Group 3 - The article discusses the impact of Trump's tariff policies, which have faced backlash and led to market volatility, ultimately undermining investor confidence [17][18] - It is mentioned that Trump's attempts to curb China's technological rise through tariffs may only temporarily slow progress, as these measures could inadvertently accelerate China's innovation efforts [20] - The article concludes that the U.S. is entering a more multipolar world, with its hegemonic status being challenged, particularly in economic terms [19]
专访吴心伯:特朗普政府“百日大考”不及格 或加速美国霸权衰亡
Group 1: Domestic Economic Impact - The Trump administration's "breaking more, establishing less" reforms have led to significant economic and social issues, with the "reciprocal tariffs" causing direct dissatisfaction among the public and businesses [2][4] - The volatility in the stock market has eroded investor confidence, disappointing those who hoped to revitalize the manufacturing sector [2][4] - There is a possibility of the U.S. economy entering a recession, with the negative effects of tariffs exceeding expectations, which could jeopardize the Republican Party's prospects in the upcoming midterm elections [5][4] Group 2: Foreign Policy Challenges - The Trump administration has failed to deliver on promises such as resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict within 24 hours and maintaining a ceasefire in Gaza, indicating a lack of serious diplomatic engagement [6][4] - The administration's simplistic approach to international conflicts has led to a perception of ineffectiveness, with significant diplomatic commitments remaining unfulfilled [6][7] - Proposals such as the annexation of Greenland and regaining control of the Panama Canal have damaged the U.S.'s international reputation and increased anti-American sentiment among allies [7][8] Group 3: Global Leadership and Multilateralism - The withdrawal from international agreements like the Paris Accord and the World Health Organization has significantly weakened U.S. global leadership and influence [8][9] - The trend of "multilateralism minus the U.S." is emerging, as other countries continue to support international mechanisms without U.S. involvement [8][9] - The Trump administration's foreign policy reflects a strategic contraction, focusing resources domestically while reducing engagement in multilateral frameworks [9][10] Group 4: Economic Policy and Trade Relations - The imposition of tariffs has been a central aspect of the Trump administration's economic strategy, aimed at countering China's rise, but has faced backlash and market volatility [13][15] - The administration's inconsistent tariff policies have undermined investor confidence, as unpredictability in trade relations is detrimental to market stability [14][13] - The belief that tariffs can effectively curb China's technological advancement is flawed, as external pressures may instead accelerate China's innovation efforts [17][15]