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先守后功,是为上
Guotou Securities· 2025-07-20 04:02
- The report introduces a "Four-Wheel Drive Model" to identify potential opportunities in specific sectors such as automobiles, computers, machinery, electronics, pharmaceuticals, and communications[8][14] - The "Four-Wheel Drive Model" is constructed based on sectoral signals, including metrics like "profitability effect anomalies" and "holding effect anomalies," which are used to detect potential opportunities or risks in various industries[14] - The model's evaluation suggests it is effective in identifying sectoral opportunities during periods of market rotation, particularly under high financing balance conditions, which indicate elevated risk appetite and short holding periods[8][14] - Backtesting results for the "Four-Wheel Drive Model" highlight specific sector signals, such as: - Automobile sector: Signal date 2025-06-24, latest signal 2025-07-16, categorized as "profitability effect anomaly," with no exit signal yet[14] - Computer sector: Signal date 2025-06-25, latest signal 2025-07-11, categorized as "holding effect anomaly," exited on 2025-07-17[14] - Machinery sector: Signal date 2025-06-24, latest signal 2025-06-24, categorized as "profitability effect anomaly," exited on 2025-07-01[14] - Electronics sector: Signal date 2025-07-03, latest signal 2025-07-03, categorized as "profitability effect anomaly," exited on 2025-07-04[14] - Pharmaceutical sector: Signal date 2025-06-24, latest signal 2025-06-24, categorized as "profitability effect anomaly," exited on 2025-06-30[14] - Communication sector: Signal date 2025-06-16, latest signal 2025-06-16, categorized as "profitability effect anomaly," exited on 2025-06-18[14]