Core Viewpoint - The natural gas heavy truck market in China has shown significant growth in September and October 2025, with year-on-year increases of 149% and 138% respectively, indicating a strong performance during the peak season. However, questions remain about whether this momentum will continue into December and what changes may occur in the industry landscape as the year concludes [1]. Sales Performance - In November 2025, the actual sales of natural gas heavy trucks reached 19,400 units, representing a month-on-month decrease of 8% but a year-on-year increase of 71%. This marks the fourth consecutive month of year-on-year growth [3][15]. - The overall heavy truck market saw total sales of 76,700 units in November, with natural gas heavy trucks outperforming the overall market growth for the fifth time this year, achieving a 71% year-on-year increase [7]. Monthly Trends - The monthly sales data for natural gas heavy trucks over the past five years shows that January and February 2025 had the highest sales figures compared to previous years. However, from March to July, sales were the second highest in five years, and November recorded the highest sales for the year [5]. Market Share and Competition - In November, natural gas heavy trucks accounted for 25.26% of total heavy truck sales, a decrease from 30.09% in October. The cumulative market share for January to November 2025 was 26.00%, lower than the previous year's 31.64% [7][21]. - Five companies sold over 1,000 units in November, with Jiefang leading at 5,449 units, followed by China National Heavy Duty Truck at 4,494 units. Other notable competitors included Dongfeng, Foton, and Shaanxi Automobile, all exceeding 2,500 units [17][18]. Price Influence - Natural gas prices fluctuated throughout 2025, with average prices around 4,400 RMB/ton in January and February, peaking near 4,600 RMB/ton in March and April, and then declining to below 4,200 RMB/ton by August. In November, prices rose above 4,350 RMB/ton, but this had little stimulating effect on sales [11]. Regional Sales Distribution - Sales of natural gas heavy trucks were distributed unevenly across regions, with Hebei, Shandong, Henan, and Shanxi being the top four provinces in terms of sales volume. Hebei alone accounted for 14.7% of total sales from January to November 2025 [11][13]. Year-to-Date Performance - Cumulatively, from January to November 2025, natural gas heavy truck sales reached 186,100 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10%. This growth is attributed to several provinces experiencing increased sales, while others saw declines [23][26]. Conclusion - The natural gas heavy truck market has rebounded after a period of decline, with a strong performance in the latter part of 2025. The potential for total sales to exceed 200,000 units this year remains high, indicating a promising outlook for the market [28].

Core Viewpoint - The natural gas heavy truck market in China has shown significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 138% in October 2025, marking the third consecutive month of growth after a period of decline earlier in the year [1][3][32]. Sales Performance - In October 2025, the domestic sales of natural gas heavy trucks reached 21,100 units, a decrease of 10% compared to September but a substantial increase of 138% year-on-year [3][6]. - The overall heavy truck market sold 70,100 units in October, with natural gas heavy trucks outperforming the market growth rate for the fourth time this year [8][20]. - The market share of natural gas heavy trucks in October was 30.09%, up from 28.12% in September, marking a return to over 30% for the first time in six months [8][23]. Market Trends - The cumulative sales of natural gas heavy trucks from January to October 2025 reached 166,800 units, reflecting a 6% year-on-year increase [25][30]. - The sales performance of major manufacturers varied, with some companies experiencing significant growth while others faced declines [20][28]. Price Influence - Natural gas prices remained relatively stable throughout 2025, with fluctuations observed in the first half of the year. Prices began to rise significantly in late October [11][32]. Regional Distribution - The sales of natural gas heavy trucks were concentrated in resource-rich provinces such as Hebei, Shandong, Henan, and Shanxi, with Hebei accounting for 15% of total sales [11][12]. Manufacturer Performance - In October 2025, the top five manufacturers sold over 1,000 units each, with Jiefang leading at 5,829 units, followed by China National Heavy Duty Truck at 4,672 units [17][20]. - The market share of Jiefang and China National Heavy Duty Truck exceeded 20%, while other manufacturers like Dongfeng, Shaanxi Automobile, and Foton also maintained significant shares [23][30].

自2025年3月份起，我国天然气重卡市场已遭遇"5连降"，3-7月平均同比降幅达到27%，7月过后累计销量降幅达到17%。 在连续5月遭遇同比下滑后，8月份，天然气重卡市场终于重获增长。 请看第一商用车网的分析报道。 根据第一商用车网掌握的终端销量数据（交强险口径，不含出口和军品），2025年8月份，国内天然气重卡实销1.67万辆，环比今年7 月份增长19%，同比也实现增长，增幅为36%，同比增幅转正（2025年7月份天然气重卡销量同比下降22%），结束了这一波长达5个 月的连降。 由最近五年国内天然气重卡终端销量月度走势图可见，1月份和2月份，代表2025年的红色柱体比之前任何一年都高，但自3月份开始， 红色柱体比代表2024年的蓝色柱体明显要矮许多。今年3-7月份销量在近五年里均排在第2高位（1月份和2月份都是五年最高）；8月 份，天然气重卡销量同比增长36%，1.67万辆的销量在近五年里仍是第2高（低于2023年8月份）。 8月销1.67万辆，环比增长19%，同比增长36% （注：其他包括吉湖北、广东、北京……上海、海南、西藏等省、区、市） 从增幅来看，新疆、四川、内蒙古、甘肃、重庆、吉林等区域今年1- ...