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山西证券研究早观点-20251118
Shanxi Securities· 2025-11-18 00:47
Market Trends - In October 2025, China's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 4.63 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9%, slightly above market expectations [4] - For the first ten months of 2025, total retail sales amounted to 41.22 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.3% [4] - Online retail channels continued to outperform the overall retail market, with physical goods online retail sales growing by 6.3% year-on-year [4] Company Analysis: Star Map Control (920116.BJ) - The company reported a revenue of 188 million yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.57%, and a net profit of 63 million yuan, up 25.28% [5] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 89 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 9.26%, with a net profit of 31 million yuan, increasing by 26.37% [5] - The rapid development of China's commercial space industry indicates a broad market potential for space management services [6] Textile Manufacturing Sector - From January to October 2025, China's textile and apparel exports were valued at 117.735 billion and 126.201 billion USD, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.9% and a decline of 3.8%, respectively [7] - The performance of international sports brands varied, with On Running and Asics leading in growth, while Adidas and Deckers showed stable performance [7] - Recommendations include Shenzhou International, Yue Yuen Industrial, and Huali Group, with a focus on companies with strong customer bases like Nike [7] Gold and Jewelry Retail Sector - In October 2025, gold and silver jewelry retail sales grew by 37.6% year-on-year, driven primarily by price increases [7] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation announced new tax policies that may benefit investment gold enterprises [7] - Recommended companies in this sector include Caibai Jewelry, Zhou Daxing, and Laopu Gold [7] Retail Sector - Miniso has shown positive same-store sales growth domestically and improved overseas performance, indicating a recovery in operational profits [7] - The company is also pursuing a spin-off of its TOPTOY brand, which could enhance its valuation [7] - Recommendations include Yonghui Superstores, which is accelerating store adjustments and improving supply chain management [7] Space Management Services - The global low-orbit internet constellation is rapidly expanding, with significant activity in satellite launches, particularly by SpaceX and Chinese companies [8] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for satellite and rocket control services, with potential annual service fees exceeding 1 billion yuan [8] - The company aims to launch its own perception constellation to enhance space situational awareness and operational safety [8]