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马斯克“星链”卫星突然大批坠落,发生了什么
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The increasing frequency of Starlink satellite re-entries raises concerns about space environment safety and satellite operational stability, with a significant number of satellites falling from orbit in recent years [3][5][11]. Group 1: Starlink Satellite Re-Entry Data - From 2020 to 2024, a total of 583 Starlink satellites have fallen from orbit, with 316 of these occurring in 2024 alone [3][5]. - The number of Starlink satellites re-entering the atmosphere has escalated dramatically, with over 120 satellites falling in January 2024, averaging more than 4 per day [3][5]. - The design lifespan of Starlink satellites is approximately 5 years, and increased geomagnetic activity has been shown to significantly reduce their operational lifespan by about 20% [11][12]. Group 2: Solar Activity Impact - The current solar cycle (Cycle 25) is characterized by heightened solar activity, which is expected to peak around 2025, posing unprecedented challenges for low Earth orbit satellites [6][7]. - Increased solar activity leads to the expansion of the Earth's upper atmosphere, resulting in greater atmospheric density and resistance, which affects satellite trajectories [9][10]. - During periods of intense geomagnetic storms, satellites can re-enter the atmosphere 10 to 12 days earlier than during quiet geomagnetic periods [11]. Group 3: Environmental and Safety Concerns - The rapid re-entry of Starlink satellites raises environmental concerns, including the potential release of metals like aluminum, which can contribute to ozone depletion [15]. - There is a risk that some satellite debris may not completely burn up during re-entry, posing a danger to people and property on the ground [15]. - Monitoring and predictive measures are recommended to mitigate the risks associated with increased satellite numbers and their potential impacts during periods of high solar and geomagnetic activity [15].