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每日投资策略:利好消息续淡化,港股后市料整固-20251031
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to consolidate as positive sentiment from the recent US-China summit fades, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,282.69, down 0.24% [2][3] - The trading volume for the day was 353.8 billion HKD, indicating a moderate level of market activity [3] Macro & Industry Dynamics - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is set to announce a new financial technology development blueprint, aiming to keep Hong Kong at the forefront of fintech innovation [6] - The HKMA emphasizes the importance of a robust financial infrastructure, likening it to a highway for efficient capital flow, and plans to explore Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and next-generation data infrastructure [6][7] - Recent adjustments in interest rates by major banks in Hong Kong, including HSBC and Standard Chartered, reflect the US Federal Reserve's rate cuts, with HSBC lowering its best lending rate by 0.125% to 5% [8] Company News - Standard Chartered reported a 2.56% year-on-year increase in pre-tax profit for Q3, amounting to 1.766 billion USD, with a focus on cross-border and wealth banking services driving growth [10] - The bank has raised its tangible shareholder equity return guidance for 2025 to approximately 13%, ahead of schedule, and expects revenue growth to approach the upper limit of 5% to 7% [11] - Budweiser APAC's Q3 net profit fell by 7.96% year-on-year to 185 million USD, with revenue declining by 8.8% to 1.555 billion USD, primarily due to challenges in the Chinese market [12]
香港金管局:未来将优先发展数码港元应用于批发层面
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 13:37
Core Insights - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has released the second phase report of the "Digital Hong Kong Dollar" pilot program, indicating a lack of significant demand or use cases for retail applications, leading to a focus on wholesale applications for interbank payments [1][2] - The HKMA has been researching central bank digital currency (CBDC) since 2017, utilizing distributed ledger technology, and believes that the "Digital Hong Kong Dollar" can facilitate cost-effective, programmable, and robust transactions [1] - The HKMA has assisted the government in issuing two batches of tokenized bonds, with plans for a third batch, aiming to enhance automation and increase bank participation in the issuance process [1] Future Developments - The HKMA plans to continue preparations in policy, legal, and technological aspects to potentially expand the "Digital Hong Kong Dollar" for personal and business use, with completion expected by the first half of 2026 [2] - The timing for the expansion of the "Digital Hong Kong Dollar" will be adjusted based on international developments, technological advancements, and market demand [2] - The HKMA's president expressed optimism about the outcomes of the pilot program phases and emphasized the importance of collaboration with the industry for future developments in CBDC and tokenization [2]
数字人民币与稳定币:二选一还是并行推进
2025-08-05 03:15
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around the development of digital currencies in China, specifically focusing on the digital renminbi and stablecoins, and their implications for the financial landscape [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Digital Currency Leadership**: China is at the forefront of central bank digital currency (CBDC) development, aiming to internationalize its traditional currency while facing the rise of stablecoins globally [1]. - **Stablecoin Definition and Usage**: Stablecoins are defined as cryptocurrencies issued by private entities, pegged to fiat currencies or specific assets, providing more stable value compared to volatile cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin [2]. - **Regulatory Attention**: The rapid rise of stablecoins has prompted increased regulatory scrutiny in China, with officials considering whether to support stablecoin issuance [2][3]. - **International Financial Integration**: Experts argue that China's ability to integrate with international financial systems through stablecoins will be a critical test of its financial openness [3]. - **Strategic Opportunity**: Stablecoins represent a competitive arena for currency dominance, with potential for China to enhance its monetary influence and challenge the dollar's supremacy [3][4]. - **Pilot Projects for Regulation**: China may initially explore stablecoin issuance through pilot projects in offshore markets before formalizing regulations [3][4]. - **Technological Participation**: The focus should be on China's technological capabilities and the attractiveness of its assets rather than solely on pegging stablecoins to the renminbi [4]. - **Hong Kong as a Testing Ground**: Hong Kong is positioned as a testing ground for stablecoin regulations, with a regulatory framework already in place to manage stablecoin issuance [4][6]. - **Corporate Interest**: Major Chinese tech companies, including JD.com and Ant Group, are actively seeking stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong to enhance cross-border payment efficiencies [6]. - **Risks of Stablecoins**: Despite their name, stablecoins carry risks, including potential threats to financial stability and monetary sovereignty if not effectively regulated [7]. - **Digital Renminbi's Role**: The digital renminbi is being developed with a focus on domestic retail payments, but its international application is limited by existing capital controls [8][9]. Additional Important Content - **U.S. Legislative Developments**: The U.S. has introduced the "Genius Act," which aims to regulate stablecoins and strengthen the dollar's position in the global market, raising concerns in Europe about the potential impact on the euro [10][11][12]. - **Market Dynamics**: Tether's USDT is the largest stablecoin, holding nearly 60% of the market share, highlighting the competitive landscape in the stablecoin sector [12]. - **Geopolitical Implications**: The rise of U.S. stablecoins could enhance the dollar's liquidity and diminish the euro's standing, leading to increased geopolitical dependencies [12].