Core Viewpoint - LVMH reported a surprising 1% organic revenue growth in Q3, reaching €18.28 billion, ending two consecutive quarters of decline and exceeding analyst expectations of zero growth [3][4] Financial Performance - Q3 organic revenue grew by 1% to €18.28 billion, surpassing analyst expectations; revenue for the first nine months was €58.1 billion, down 4% year-on-year [3][4] - The fashion and leather goods segment saw a 2% decline in Q3, better than the anticipated 3.48% drop; perfumes and cosmetics grew by 2%, while selective retailing, including Sephora, experienced a strong 7% growth [3][4][6] Regional Performance - Asia (including China) grew by 2% in Q3, contrasting with a 9% decline in the first half; the U.S. market grew by 3%, while Japan saw a significant 13% decline, and Europe dropped by 2% due to currency effects [4][12] - The strong performance of LVMH's stock led to a rise in the luxury goods sector, with Kering and Richemont shares also increasing [4][9] Structural Challenges in Core Business - The fashion and leather goods segment, which includes brands like Louis Vuitton and Dior, is crucial, contributing over two-thirds of the group's profits [5] - This segment's revenue was €8.5 billion in Q3, down 2% year-on-year, while the first nine months saw an 8% decline from €29.92 billion to €27.61 billion [6][7] Performance in Other Business Segments - The selective retailing segment achieved a 7% organic growth to €3.99 billion, primarily driven by strong performance from Sephora [7] - The wine and spirits segment unexpectedly grew by 1%, benefiting from U.S. market restocking of champagne and rosé wine, reversing the expected 3% decline [7] China Market Insights - The performance in China was a key highlight, with a 2% growth in Q3, contrasting sharply with the earlier 9% decline; the CFO noted encouraging demand despite macroeconomic challenges [8] - The sustainability of this recovery in China amidst uncertain macroeconomic conditions is critical for the luxury goods sector [8] Market Outlook and Challenges - Despite the positive Q3 results, caution is advised as the CFO indicated that the Q4 comparison will be more challenging, while 2026 may present easier comparisons [11] - Ongoing macroeconomic pressures, including a strong euro impacting revenue, and structural adjustments in the luxury sector due to changing consumer behavior and geopolitical uncertainties remain significant challenges [11][12]

Core Insights - LVMH reported a surprising 1% organic revenue growth in Q3, reaching €18.28 billion, ending two consecutive quarters of decline and exceeding analyst expectations of zero growth [1][4] - Following the positive earnings report, LVMH's stock surged over 8%, positively impacting other luxury brands like Kering and Richemont [1] Financial Performance - Q3 organic revenue growth of 1% to €18.28 billion, ending two quarters of decline, with a 9-month revenue of €58.1 billion, down 4% year-on-year [4] - Fashion and leather goods segment saw a 2% decline in Q3, better than the expected 4% drop, while perfumes and cosmetics grew by 2% and specialty retail (including Sephora) grew by 7% [4] - The wine and spirits segment unexpectedly grew by 1%, reversing a forecasted 3% decline, driven by champagne restocking in the U.S. [5] Regional Performance - Asia (excluding Japan) grew by 2% in Q3, contrasting with a 9% decline in the first half of the year, indicating a potential recovery in the Chinese market [5] - The U.S. market showed a solid 3% growth, while Europe declined by 2% due to currency fluctuations and reduced tourist spending [7] - Japan experienced a significant 13% decline, attributed to a high comparative base from the previous year when a weak yen attracted tourists [7] Structural Challenges - The fashion and leather goods segment, which contributes over two-thirds of LVMH's profits, reported a revenue drop of 8% in the first nine months of the year [3] - LVMH is undergoing a major creative overhaul with new creative directors appointed across several brands, but the long-term commercial success of these changes remains uncertain [3][6] - Despite the Q3 growth, LVMH's CFO cautioned that the fourth quarter will present more challenging comparisons, indicating potential volatility in future performance [5][6]