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中泰资管天团 | 田宏伟:多资产配置的核心是什么?
中泰证券资管· 2026-03-12 11:33
Core Viewpoint - The FOF market is expected to experience a strong recovery in 2025, with over 80 new funds launched and a total fundraising scale of 800 billion yuan, highlighting the increasing importance of multi-asset allocation for clients [1] Multi-Asset Allocation Core - Multi-asset allocation emphasizes diversification across various asset types, including global equity markets and flexible fixed income investments, as well as commodities and alternative investments [3] - The core of multi-asset allocation lies in understanding macroeconomic and industry cycles, along with risk control capabilities, which are dynamic rather than static [3][5] Multi-Strategy Approach - Multi-strategy provides another dimension to multi-asset allocation, with common strategies including CPPI, risk parity, and macro allocation strategies [4] - The essence of multi-asset allocation is to seek heterogeneous returns and risk sources to reduce volatility and risk [5] Sources of Returns in Multi-Asset Allocation - Returns from multi-asset allocation can be broken down into two core dimensions: the ability to grasp trends in individual asset categories and top-down macro allocation capabilities [8] - For equities, understanding industry trends and cycles is crucial, while fixed income requires a comprehensive assessment of macro variables like interest rate risk and economic growth [8] Effective Multi-Asset Allocation - Effective multi-asset allocation should focus on diversifying into heterogeneous assets like bonds and gold to lower portfolio volatility and risk [12] - It is essential to conduct sector rebalancing based on different industry and economic cycle characteristics, as well as asset price-performance ratios [12]
华金证券副总裁华一:以“固收打底,弹性增强”宏观配置策略,探路券商资管低利率时代破局
中国基金报· 2025-11-12 04:31
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the transformation of China's economy towards high-quality development, highlighting the importance of "solid income +" strategies in the current low-interest-rate environment, which presents differentiated development opportunities for securities asset management [1]. Group 1: "Solid Income +" Strategy Evolution - The "solid income +" strategy balances "stability" and "innovation," utilizing fixed-income assets to establish a base while seeking enhanced returns through flexible assets, aligning with the demand for wealth preservation and economic financing [1][2]. - The current liquidity remains reasonably ample, with credit bond spreads compressed to historically low levels, making pure bond strategies less attractive, while the equity market shows structural vitality driven by technology growth [1][2]. Group 2: Asset Allocation and Risk Management - The strategy involves dynamic hedging through multiple assets and strategies, reducing reliance on single asset cycles, and includes using government bond futures to hedge interest rate risks and managing equity exposure with index futures or options [2]. - The ideal model of "bond base + derivatives enhancement + strategy rotation" aims to control drawdowns while capturing structural opportunities, catering to investors' desire for stability and value appreciation [2]. Group 3: Differentiated Asset Categories - Securities asset management focuses on four key areas to create differentiated labels, moving from "single allocation" to "macro combination," with high-grade credit bonds and fixed-income assets forming the core [3][4]. - The core strategy involves a combination of core and satellite strategies to mitigate volatility and capture excess returns, aligning with regulatory requirements and investor demand for stable growth with moderate flexibility [3][4]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Various Markets - The article discusses the importance of financial and commodity futures as tools for managing macro volatility, with government bond futures being crucial for interest rate risk management and commodity futures capturing opportunities related to inflation and geopolitical factors [5]. - Convertible bonds are highlighted as a unique area for securities asset management, with a market balance exceeding 800 billion, particularly in sectors aligned with the "15th Five-Year Plan" such as TMT and consumer recovery [7][9]. Group 5: Public REITs and Sustainable Investment - Public REITs are positioned as a gateway for real estate investment, aligning with national policies to activate existing assets and expand effective investment, particularly in technology parks and green energy sectors [9][10]. - The focus on sustainable equity investment aims to build a competitive product line through diversified strategies, transitioning from "solid income +" to a more comprehensive asset management approach [12]. Group 6: Investor Protection and Service Innovation - The essence of asset management is highlighted as "entrusted by others, managing on behalf of clients," with a strong emphasis on investor protection throughout the product design and service process [13]. - The company aims to enhance investor protection through refined services and risk education, fostering long-term relationships with clients and expanding its customer base through tailored products and services [13]. Group 7: Industry Outlook - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is viewed as a "golden five years" for securities asset management, with declining interest rates stimulating demand for allocation and capital market reforms opening new opportunities [14]. - The company aims to integrate various asset classes into a single product, focusing on risk management and optimal returns, positioning itself as a key player in the capital market [14].