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特朗普连出狠招清拜登遗产,民主党红州逆势崛起,美国内乱升级
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 03:08
哈喽,大家好,这篇评论主要分析特朗普连番出招清除拜登遗产、布局2028年大选,并讲述民主党在红 州崛起的逆势反击,以及美国国内日益升级的内乱。 特朗普的权力扩张并没有止步于政坛,他的目光还瞄准了美国金融领域的核心。11月30日,特朗普公开 表示,已经确定了下一任美联储主席人选,白宫国家经济委员会主任哈塞特成为热门人选,预计这一提 名将在2026年初公布。这个决定直指美联储长达百年的独立传统。美联储作为美国三权分立体制中的重 要一环,原本由20家区域银行分散权力,并且主席仅向国会汇报工作,目的是防止白宫干预货币政策。 然而,自特朗普再次上任以来,他多次批评现任主席鲍威尔降息过慢,甚至威胁解除其职务。他推选哈 塞特,主要目的是通过亲信掌控美联储,推动降息来提振经济和降低政府借贷成本,但这可能严重削弱 美联储的通胀控制能力。按照程序,特朗普提名的美联储主席需要经过参议院批准,而共和党目前占据 参议院多数席位,这使得该提名有很大几率通过,这也意味着美国金融独立体制正面临着严峻挑战。 民主党并没有坐以待毙,正积极反击特朗普的强势操作。最新民调显示,特朗普的支持率有所下滑,特 别是在拉美裔群体中的支持率跌幅显著;与此相比 ...
陈相秒、张舒:街头抗议不断、关键人物“翻脸”,小马科斯为何仍“稳坐钓鱼台”?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-04 00:39
Core Points - The article discusses the ongoing anti-corruption protests in the Philippines, particularly focusing on the government's handling of a multi-billion dollar infrastructure corruption scandal [1][2][4] - The protests reflect a significant trust crisis for President Marcos, exacerbated by political rivalries and the historical context of family politics in the Philippines [2][5][19] Summary by Sections Protests and Public Sentiment - Thousands of Filipinos protested in Manila, demanding accountability for a corruption scandal involving billions of dollars [1] - This is the second major protest since the corruption allegations surfaced in July, indicating growing public discontent [1][2] - The protests are fueled by a broader trust crisis in the Marcos administration, with public support and trust ratings declining significantly [5][6][8] Trust and Approval Ratings - Marcos' approval rating dropped from 62% in July 2025 to 54% in September 2025, while disapproval rose from 19% to 26% [6] - Trust levels fell from 64% to 57% in the same period, with significant declines among lower-income groups [7] - Recent polls indicate that public trust in the government is at an all-time low, with many believing corruption is more prevalent now than three years ago [8][10] Government Response and Political Dynamics - The Marcos administration has attempted to distance itself from the corruption allegations, employing a "sacrificial" strategy by allowing key political allies to resign [9][12] - Key figures, including the Speaker of the House and the Secretary of Public Works, have resigned amid the scandal, reflecting an effort to mitigate public outrage [12][13] - The establishment of an "Independent Commission on Infrastructure" to investigate the corruption has been met with skepticism, as many doubt its effectiveness [10][23] Corruption Allegations and Historical Context - The article highlights the historical context of corruption in the Philippines, noting that up to half of the funds allocated for flood control projects may have been lost to corruption [10][14] - Allegations include that contractors must pay kickbacks of 20% to 25% before projects even begin, significantly reducing the actual funds available for construction [9][10] - The political rivalry between the Marcos and Duterte families adds complexity to the situation, with both sides implicated in corruption [2][19] Future Implications - The protests are expected to continue, particularly as the typhoon season approaches, which could exacerbate public dissatisfaction with inadequate infrastructure [19][24] - The military and police have expressed support for the Marcos administration, indicating that a coup is unlikely despite the protests [20][24] - The article suggests that if the administration fails to address the corruption issues before the next typhoon season, the trust crisis could deepen, potentially leading to a shift in political power dynamics [24][25]
美媒:菲律宾中期选举形成三方僵局
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-05-18 22:26
Group 1 - The Philippine Commission on Elections announced the election results for 12 senators, with new senators expected to take office by the end of June, serving until 2031 [1] - The election results provided an unexpected boost to Vice President Sara Duterte while simultaneously posing challenges for the Marcos administration [1] - Among the elected senators, several are relatives of current senators, reinforcing the influence of political families in the Philippine legislature and sparking discussions on whether family politics hinders national development [1] Group 2 - Five of the newly elected senators are considered allies of Marcos, while five candidates supported by the Duterte family also secured seats, with two candidates from the opposition Liberal Party winning high votes [1] - Sara Duterte expressed her desire for a trial regarding her impeachment case, indicating her readiness to confront the situation [2] - Analysts suggest that the midterm election results reflect opposition to the current government rather than an endorsement of the Duterte family's regained influence [2]
杜特尔特狱中翻盘,小马科斯打“中国牌”失败
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-17 12:53
Core Viewpoint - The recent midterm elections in the Philippines reaffirmed the enduring political influence of the Duterte family in Davao City, despite attempts by the Marcos administration to undermine their power [1][6][12]. Group 1: Duterte's Political Legacy - Duterte has been elected mayor of Davao City for the eighth time, highlighting the family's strong political foundation in the region [1]. - The Duterte family has a long history in Davao, with Duterte's father serving as governor and Duterte himself having governed the city for over two decades before becoming president [1]. - Under Duterte's leadership, Davao City has transformed from a crime-ridden area to one of the safest cities in Southeast Asia, with significant economic development [1][2]. Group 2: Public Support and Perception - Duterte's hardline policies, particularly against drugs, have earned him a reputation as a "punisher," leading to high public approval ratings during his presidency [2][12]. - Surveys indicated that 77% of Filipinos were satisfied with Duterte's performance by December 2016, and this approval rating remained high until his term ended in 2022 [2]. - The emotional connection of the public to Duterte was evident during the midterm elections, where supporters rallied to express their loyalty and support for him [3][4][5]. Group 3: Political Dynamics and Challenges - The midterm elections showcased a significant shift in political dynamics, with the Duterte family maintaining strong support despite the Marcos administration's efforts to diminish their influence [11][12]. - The election results revealed that the Marcos administration's strategy to leverage anti-China sentiment did not resonate with voters as intended [6][9]. - The ongoing political challenges for the Marcos administration include addressing public dissatisfaction with economic issues, as indicated by rising poverty perceptions among Filipinos [10][12]. Group 4: Future Implications - The political landscape suggests that the Duterte family's influence will continue, with potential implications for future elections, including the presidential candidacy of Duterte's daughter, Sara [6][12][13]. - The outcome of the midterm elections may impact the impeachment proceedings against Sara Duterte, with her political survival linked to the support garnered by the Duterte family in the Senate [12][13].