Workflow
尽调
icon
Search documents
算力的泡沫与骗局
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-14 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The discussion revolves around the concept of computing power bubbles, highlighting the cyclical nature of projects in this field and the importance of continuous due diligence and risk management [1][13][20]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The computing power bubble has gained public attention since early 2023, although the issues may have originated earlier [15][17]. - There is a significant information lag in the industry, where problems may be recognized by insiders long before they become apparent to the public [18][19]. - The narrative of computing power often involves creating fictitious market demands and leveraging information asymmetry to attract investments [24][38]. Group 2: Business Models and Revenue Sources - The core focus should be on the underlying assets, revenue sources, and the rationality of the business model [22]. - The profitability of computing power centers relies on providing computing services and leasing computing power [33]. - The pricing of computing power has experienced significant fluctuations, indicating potential market volatility and information gaps [35][37]. Group 3: Risks and Fraudulent Practices - Many projects in the computing power sector may engage in deceptive practices, such as fabricating revenue sources and inflating asset values [30][41]. - The existence of contracts does not guarantee genuine demand; the underlying need may be fabricated [84]. - The operational integrity of computing power centers is crucial, as discrepancies in reported capabilities can lead to significant financial losses [67][71]. Group 4: Due Diligence Recommendations - Due diligence should extend beyond the immediate business model to encompass the entire supply chain and market dynamics [85][93]. - Understanding the actual demand and the capabilities of downstream clients is essential to assess the viability of investments in computing power [87][90]. - A comprehensive approach to due diligence can help identify potential risks and prevent falling victim to common industry scams [79][94].